Tue, Dec 23, 2025·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Buffalo Sabres 3, Ottawa Senators 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 77% of the time.
70%
15%
OTT winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26:39 | 0.07 | 23.7% | +49.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25:10 | 0.13 | 22.2% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 2 | 24:18 | 0.12 | 36.5% | +82.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:48 | 0.04 | 29.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 18:01 | 0.28 | 14.0% | +17.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:47 | 0.09 | 20.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:36 | 0.01 | 21.7% | +49.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:11 | 0.10 | 83.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:01 | 0.10 | 16.9% | +17.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:00 | 0.09 | 17.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:00 | 0.00 | 10.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 13:36 | 0.15 | 82.6% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:28 | 0.04 | 7.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:13 | 0.05 | 79.8% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:39 | 0.05 | 24.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:24 | 0.16 | 28.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:21 | 0.20 | 26.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 8:38 | 0.00 | 53.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 26 | 24 | 2 | .923 | 3.30 | +1.3 | 60:31 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 23:23 | 0.22 | 70.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:25 | 0.07 | 79.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 21:41 | 0.29 | 68.4% | +17.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20:42 | 0.79 | 90.3% | +17.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:33 | 0.04 | 67.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:32 | 0.19 | 90.4% | +17.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:04 | 0.00 | 84.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 6 | 18:42 | 0.83 | 66.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:03 | 0.30 | 60.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:47 | 0.00 | 66.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:20 | 0.05 | 78.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:10 | 0.05 | 78.9% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:21 | 0.27 | 90.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:17 | 0.08 | 66.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:11 | 0.12 | 78.9% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:27 | 0.00 | 28.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:46 | 0.00 | 17.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 2:40 | 0.00 | 11.1% | 0.0 |
| O | 25 | 22 | 3 | .880 | 1.68 | −1.3 | 60:31 |