Tue, Dec 23, 2025·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Buffalo Sabres 3, Ottawa Senators 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 77% of the time.
70%
15%
OTT winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Thompson–Krebs–Doan | Tuch–Norris–Ostlund | Greenway–Malenstyn–Dunne | McLeod–Quinn–Benson | Tuch–McLeod–Ostlund | Samuelsson–Dahlin | Kesselring–Power | Samuelsson–Byram | Byram–Metsa | Dahlin–Power | Dahlin–Byram | Byram–Power | Samuelsson–Power | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zetterlund–Tkachuk–Stützle | 0:470.29–0.00 | 2:540.11–0.06 | 3:160.06–0.10 | 4:410.24–0.29 | 3:130.40–0.08 | 3:180.13–0.05 | 2:470.13–0.25 | 1:480.00–0.06 | 0:520.00–0.00 | ||||
| Giroux–Amadio–Greig | 9:030.18–0.06 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 2:310.13–0.00 | 2:330.01–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 1:100.00–0.00 | 2:220.00–0.04 | 1:200.05–0.02 | 1:210.05–0.00 | |||
| Perron–Batherson–Cozens | 0:590.27–0.00 | 6:060.28–0.05 | 1:350.00–0.01 | 2:040.38–0.00 | 1:490.07–0.07 | 2:560.45–0.00 | 2:090.27–0.00 | 2:120.15–0.00 | 1:310.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.01 | |||
| Cousins–Zetterlund–Halliday | 1:040.00–0.00 | 0:380.03–0.00 | 0:380.03–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Cousins–MacDermid–Halliday | 2:140.03–0.22 | 0:360.03–0.05 | 0:390.00–0.05 | ||||||||||
| Perron–Batherson–Stützle | 0:380.09–0.00 | 0:520.09–0.02 | |||||||||||
| Cousins–Batherson–Halliday | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Chabot–Spence | 0:530.00–0.00 | 5:380.11–0.06 | 3:030.00–0.09 | 5:170.34–0.17 | 0:500.05–0.00 | 4:420.31–0.05 | 3:120.19–0.00 | 4:000.09–0.13 | 2:470.03–0.11 | 1:150.00–0.00 | |||
| Sanderson–Zub | 9:190.74–0.06 | 1:560.03–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.00 | 4:090.42–0.09 | 2:290.03–0.00 | 1:520.27–0.00 | 1:210.00–0.00 | 2:230.00–0.04 | 1:100.00–0.02 | 0:430.05–0.00 | |||
| Jensen–Matinpalo | 0:310.00–0.00 | 5:190.47–0.06 | 4:400.06–0.19 | 1:550.36–0.12 | 2:030.10–0.07 | 4:230.37–0.10 | 1:180.04–0.12 | 2:070.12–0.00 | 1:410.00–0.03 | 0:350.00–0.01 | 0:300.04–0.00 | 0:330.24–0.00 | |
| Chabot–Zub | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Jensen–Sanderson | 0:510.00–0.05 |
Every shift, one row per player.
OTTBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 32 | 26:39 | 0:50 | 1:37 | 2 | 11 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 31 | 25:10 | 0:49 | 1:22 | 4 | 5 |
 Bowen ByramBUF | 31 | 24:18 | 0:47 | 1:40 | 4 | 6 |
 Thomas ChabotOTT | 28 | 23:23 | 0:50 | 1:36 | 7 | 2 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 28 | 22:48 | 0:49 | 1:30 | 6 | 7 |
 Jake SandersonOTT | 29 | 22:25 | 0:46 | 1:35 | 5 | 7 |
 Tim StützleOTT | 28 | 21:41 | 0:46 | 1:36 | 9 | 3 |
 Drake BathersonOTT | 28 | 20:42 | 0:44 | 2:07 | 4 | 3 |
 Jordan SpenceOTT | 25 | 19:33 | 0:47 | 1:22 | 6 | 1 |
 Dylan CozensOTT | 25 | 19:32 | 0:47 | 2:11 | 5 | 4 |
 Artem ZubOTT | 26 | 19:04 | 0:44 | 1:23 | 3 | 7 |
 Brady TkachukOTT | 28 | 18:42 | 0:40 | 1:37 | 10 | 0 |
 Fabian ZetterlundOTT | 27 | 18:03 | 0:40 | 1:27 | 6 | 0 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 29 | 18:01 | 0:37 | 1:11 | 5 | 9 |
 Nick JensenOTT | 27 | 17:47 | 0:40 | 1:11 | 4 | 4 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 24 | 16:47 | 0:42 | 1:07 | 9 | 2 |
 Ryan McLeodBUF | 23 | 16:36 | 0:43 | 1:11 | 1 | 3 |
 Michael AmadioOTT | 23 | 16:20 | 0:43 | 1:35 | 3 | 4 |
 Beck MalenstynBUF | 23 | 16:11 | 0:42 | 1:28 | 0 | 7 |
 Claude GirouxOTT | 25 | 16:10 | 0:39 | 1:17 | 2 | 6 |
 David PerronOTT | 23 | 15:21 | 0:40 | 1:04 | 4 | 4 |
 Nikolas MatinpaloOTT | 27 | 15:17 | 0:34 | 1:02 | 5 | 3 |
 Ridly GreigOTT | 23 | 15:11 | 0:40 | 1:11 | 3 | 6 |
 Noah OstlundBUF | 22 | 15:01 | 0:41 | 1:02 | 4 | 6 |
 Josh NorrisBUF | 24 | 14:00 | 0:35 | 1:07 | 5 | 7 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 21 | 14:00 | 0:40 | 1:07 | 6 | 2 |
 Jordan GreenwayBUF | 21 | 13:36 | 0:39 | 1:12 | 0 | 5 |
 Josh DoanBUF | 22 | 13:28 | 0:37 | 0:56 | 8 | 2 |
 Josh DunneBUF | 19 | 13:13 | 0:42 | 1:27 | 0 | 5 |
 Michael KesselringBUF | 18 | 12:39 | 0:42 | 1:18 | 1 | 0 |
 Zach BensonBUF | 21 | 12:24 | 0:35 | 0:57 | 1 | 0 |
 Jack QuinnBUF | 19 | 12:21 | 0:39 | 1:22 | 1 | 1 |
 Zach MetsaBUF | 13 | 8:38 | 0:40 | 1:16 | 3 | 1 |
 Nick CousinsOTT | 16 | 8:27 | 0:32 | 0:49 | 5 | 0 |
 Stephen HallidayOTT | 17 | 7:46 | 0:27 | 0:43 | 4 | 0 |
 Kurtis MacDermidOTT | 5 | 2:40 | 0:32 | 0:40 | 2 | 0 |