Tue, Dec 23, 2025·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Dallas Stars 3, Detroit Red Wings 4 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 57% of the time.
35%
9%
48%
DET winsDAL wins
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 27:44 | 0.17 | 63.6% | +22.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:10 | 0.27 | 64.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 5 | 21:56 | 0.73 | 69.4% | +25.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:30 | 0.00 | 65.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20:07 | 0.52 | 64.7% | +22.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20:01 | 0.26 | 50.0% | +47.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 18:46 | 0.40 | 76.0% | +25.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:41 | 0.05 | 70.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 15:32 | 0.47 | 81.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:18 | 0.04 | 77.9% | +20.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:30 | 0.00 | 54.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:57 | 0.00 | 50.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:56 | 0.04 | 28.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:45 | 0.00 | 26.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:17 | 0.01 | 71.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:26 | 0.08 | 97.9% | +20.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:45 | 0.18 | 70.4% | +20.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:15 | 0.00 | 24.1% | 0.0 |
| O | 25 | 21 | 4 | .840 | 2.83 | −1.2 | 59:50 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 22:36 | 0.10 | 53.0% | +71.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:31 | 0.03 | 19.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 21:50 | 0.01 | 61.8% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:00 | 0.00 | 19.3% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 20:47 | 0.59 | 35.5% | +82.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 18:31 | 0.55 | 44.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 3 | 17:42 | 0.19 | 52.2% | +103.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:11 | 0.00 | 41.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:58 | 0.00 | 8.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16:13 | 0.91 | 28.0% | +20.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:20 | 0.07 | 6.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:33 | 0.02 | 41.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:26 | 0.00 | 24.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:34 | 0.01 | 15.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:19 | 0.00 | 23.5% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:10 | 0.10 | 38.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:50 | 0.08 | 52.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 10:12 | 0.17 | 33.9% | +46.8 |
| W | 22 | 19 | 3 | .864 | 3.23 | +0.2 | 60:34 |