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Ice Lab

Tue, Dec 23, 2025·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Dallas Stars 3, Detroit Red Wings 4 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 57% of the time.

DET winsDAL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against DAL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Hintz–Robertson–BourqueRantanen–Steel–JohnstonBenn–Duchene–HryckowianFaksa–Erne–BäckDuchene–Robertson–BourqueLundkvist–HarleyLindell–HeiskanenPetrovic–LyubushkinLindell–LyubushkinHeiskanen–HarleyPetrovic–HeiskanenLyubushkin–HarleyLindell–Lundkvist
Larkin–Raymond–Finnie2:100.08–0.134:300.22–0.171:310.00–0.000:510.00–0.001:500.17–0.235:590.13–0.081:050.00–0.000:320.00–0.00
Copp–DeBrincat–Leonard3:150.00–0.261:430.16–0.003:270.00–0.034:370.05–0.211:070.00–0.000:310.00–0.001:290.28–0.000:490.00–0.00
van Riemsdyk–Compher–Rasmussen2:090.00–0.294:330.01–0.121:150.00–0.030:450.00–0.102:310.01–0.000:370.00–0.001:510.00–0.29
Appleton–Kasper–Danielson0:300.00–0.171:180.00–0.002:490.13–0.041:340.00–0.001:590.10–0.040:440.00–0.000:480.00–0.00
Compher–Appleton–Rasmussen1:210.00–0.001:010.00–0.200:410.00–0.00
Larkin–DeBrincat–Raymond
Larkin–Appleton–Finnie0:370.00–0.000:390.00–0.13
Seider–Edvinsson3:170.25–0.126:580.25–0.171:230.00–0.181:560.06–0.003:070.20–0.125:410.19–0.171:290.00–0.000:510.00–0.001:310.13–0.000:530.17–0.180:540.02–0.001:100.00–0.00
Bernard-Docker–Johansson2:080.00–0.201:260.00–0.304:280.00–0.144:010.00–0.043:040.07–0.022:590.00–0.133:160.00–0.120:350.00–0.000:340.00–0.001:370.00–0.290:530.00–0.00
Chiarot–Sandin-Pellikka3:100.00–0.351:270.06–0.002:140.01–0.020:490.00–0.030:390.01–0.004:090.01–0.230:500.00–0.002:460.01–0.090:430.06–0.00
Chiarot–Bernard-Docker1:520.00–0.121:500.00–0.32
Chiarot–Johansson1:010.00–0.000:450.00–0.000:440.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndRaymond FFinnie FLarkin FCopp FLeonard FDeBrincat Fvan Riemsdyk FCompher FRasmussen FDanielson FKasper FAppleton FSeider DEdvinsson DChiarot DSandin-Pellikka DJohansson DBernard-Docker DGibson GSteel FJohnston FRantanen FRobertson FHintz FBourque FDuchene FBenn FHryckowian FErne FBäck FFaksa FHeiskanen DLindell DLundkvist DHarley DPetrovic DLyubushkin DDeSmith G
DETDALFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Miro HeiskanenDAL2727:441:022:1764
Moritz SeiderDET3122:360:441:4925
Ben ChiarotDET2522:310:541:4045
Thomas HarleyDAL2622:100:511:3315
Jason RobertsonDAL2321:560:572:0882
Simon EdvinssonDET3221:500:411:1316
Esa LindellDAL2221:300:592:5134
Jacob Bernard-DockerDET2221:000:573:1024
Dylan LarkinDET2620:470:481:5665
Wyatt JohnstonDAL2020:071:002:1721
Mikko RantanenDAL1920:011:032:2932
Roope HintzDAL2318:460:491:4092
Alex DeBrincatDET2118:310:531:4732
Lucas RaymondDET2417:420:441:5563
Andrew CoppDET2417:110:431:2246
Albert JohanssonDET1716:581:003:1012
Nils LundkvistDAL2116:410:481:3324
Emmitt FinnieDET2216:130:441:3252
Mavrik BourqueDAL1715:320:551:2834
Matt DucheneDAL1715:180:541:1921
Ilya LyubushkinDAL2014:300:441:3101
J.T. CompherDET1914:200:452:0016
John LeonardDET1813:330:451:0732
Mason AppletonDET1813:260:451:4411
Sam SteelDAL2012:570:391:0431
Radek FaksaDAL1612:560:491:1703
Oskar BäckDAL1612:450:481:1504
Axel Sandin-PellikkaDET1612:340:471:1432
Michael RasmussenDET1812:190:411:5927
Alexander PetrovicDAL1512:170:491:4101
Justin HryckowianDAL1511:260:461:2032
Marco KasperDET1511:100:451:2210
Nate DanielsonDET1710:500:381:1300
Jamie BennDAL1610:450:401:1233
Adam ErneDAL1310:150:471:1001
James van RiemsdykDET1210:120:512:2713