Sat, Dec 27, 2025·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Edmonton Oilers 2, Calgary Flames 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 52% of the time.
44%
8%
8%
40%
CGY winsEDM wins
Edmonton Oilers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 29:04 | 0.33 | 49.8% | +23.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 26:39 | 1.35 | 61.8% | +8.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 24:23 | 0.11 | 37.5% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 23:04 | 0.44 | 65.0% | +8.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:46 | 0.13 | 50.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 20:35 | 0.13 | 44.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20:10 | 0.36 | 61.4% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:21 | 0.00 | 40.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:14 | 0.06 | 27.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:06 | 0.09 | 46.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:04 | 0.00 | 61.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:54 | 0.08 | 37.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:34 | 0.00 | 46.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:34 | 0.07 | 33.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:29 | 0.00 | 11.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:46 | 0.00 | 42.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:36 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:15 | 0.17 | 47.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 32 | 29 | 3 | .906 | 3.48 | +0.5 | 58:26 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 26:21 | 0.03 | 41.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 22:41 | 0.05 | 38.4% | +10.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 22:12 | 0.00 | 73.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 21:43 | 0.51 | 80.3% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 21:35 | 0.06 | 70.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20:34 | 0.27 | 21.0% | +10.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 19:27 | 0.31 | 29.6% | +10.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 18:55 | 0.55 | 76.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:39 | 0.32 | 45.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14:52 | 0.69 | 68.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:29 | 0.02 | 60.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:10 | 0.00 | 36.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:04 | 0.00 | 51.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:49 | 0.18 | 42.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 3 | 10:49 | 0.13 | 84.8% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:55 | 0.00 | 17.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 8:53 | 0.09 | 85.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 7:28 | 0.27 | 100.0% | +21.6 |
| W | 31 | 29 | 2 | .935 | 3.31 | +1.3 | 60:00 |