Mon, Dec 29, 2025·Amerant Bank Arena, Sunrise
Washington Capitals 3, Florida Panthers 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 54% of the time.
46%
38%
FLA winsWSH wins
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 26:59 | 0.51 | 44.7% | +19.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:43 | 0.00 | 38.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 20:56 | 0.52 | 53.9% | +56.2 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 6 | 20:48 | 0.97 | 68.6% | +56.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 20:24 | 0.16 | 15.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:38 | 0.00 | 30.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 17:19 | 0.40 | 37.1% | +21.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:05 | 0.06 | 31.4% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:28 | 0.14 | 13.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:56 | 0.08 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:39 | 0.00 | 27.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:38 | 0.29 | 36.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:35 | 0.00 | 34.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:17 | 0.07 | 33.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:13 | 0.35 | 37.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:53 | 0.00 | 31.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:34 | 0.08 | 49.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:09 | 0.03 | 66.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 28 | 24 | 4 | .857 | 3.64 | −0.4 | 58:45 |
Florida Panthers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 5 | 23:25 | 0.69 | 64.2% | +59.8 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 1 | 22:19 | 0.10 | 39.8% | +38.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 22:01 | 0.22 | 67.4% | +44.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21:28 | 0.35 | 49.3% | +38.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20:51 | 0.54 | 54.7% | +23.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 20:14 | 0.34 | 60.0% | +55.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:15 | 0.00 | 20.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 19:03 | 0.03 | 68.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 16:21 | 0.03 | 63.0% | +3.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:50 | 0.52 | 70.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:50 | 0.15 | 72.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:55 | 0.43 | 31.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:16 | 0.00 | 92.1% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 13:54 | 0.03 | 85.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:38 | 0.15 | 71.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:39 | 0.31 | 100.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:58 | 0.00 | 100.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:53 | 0.01 | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 27 | 24 | 3 | .889 | 3.66 | +0.7 | 59:57 |