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Ice Lab

Mon, Dec 29, 2025·Amerant Bank Arena, Sunrise

Washington Capitals 3, Florida Panthers 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 54% of the time.

FLA winsWSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

FLA forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Wilson–Strome–ProtasDowd–Beauvillier–LeonardOvechkin–Protas–SourdifDuhaime–Lapierre–FrankOvechkin–Strome–BeauvillierDowd–McMichael–LeonardOvechkin–Beauvillier–SourdifWilson–Strome–McMichaelMcMichael–Protas–SourdifOvechkin–Wilson–StromeDowd–Beauvillier–FrankDowd–Duhaime–FrankRoy–ChychrunCarlson–Fehérváryvan Riemsdyk–SandinChychrun–SandinRoy–SandinCarlson–Chychrunvan Riemsdyk–Chychrunvan Riemsdyk–Fehérváry
Reinhart–Luostarinen–Lundell2:390.14–0.360:420.08–0.000:360.00–0.051:520.10–0.000:390.17–0.000:310.00–0.001:560.14–0.253:300.20–0.161:460.07–0.000:310.00–0.00
Greer–Rodrigues–Samoskevich1:460.09–0.100:320.00–0.110:390.00–0.001:010.15–0.000:450.00–0.002:060.02–0.091:370.16–0.002:110.08–0.130:510.00–0.001:090.08–0.00
Marchand–Verhaeghe–Bennett1:460.00–0.000:380.03–0.060:460.00–0.111:020.00–0.000:420.00–0.002:350.10–0.111:520.00–0.161:030.00–0.001:030.03–0.060:350.00–0.000:370.00–0.00
Kunin–Boqvist–Studnicka1:260.02–0.000:400.11–0.001:000.00–0.001:130.02–0.000:570.11–0.000:310.00–0.000:430.00–0.000:350.00–0.00
Ekblad–Forsling1:220.14–0.161:400.00–0.000:330.00–0.111:540.33–0.001:170.02–0.000:320.07–0.001:000.00–0.002:380.46–0.004:210.12–0.161:060.01–0.111:110.03–0.000:550.00–0.000:390.00–0.00
Jones–Mikkola1:310.00–0.301:180.02–0.000:340.00–0.060:460.00–0.110:400.00–0.001:340.00–0.005:250.04–0.340:530.00–0.161:200.00–0.000:320.00–0.060:450.00–0.000:530.00–0.000:330.00–0.00
Petry–Balinskis2:060.09–0.021:110.08–0.001:390.15–0.000:370.00–0.050:460.17–0.001:260.11–0.001:040.10–0.053:170.32–0.004:160.26–0.020:410.02–0.000:350.00–0.00
Petry–Forsling0:450.08–0.00
Forsling–Mikkola0:530.00–0.00
Ekblad–Mikkola
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndBennett FVerhaeghe FMarchand FGreer FSamoskevich FRodrigues FReinhart FLundell FLuostarinen FStudnicka FBoqvist FKunin FJones DMikkola DEkblad DForsling DBalinskis DPetry DBobrovsky GDuhaime FSourdif FWilson FOvechkin FProtas FStrome FDowd FBeauvillier FLeonard FFrank FLapierre FMcMichael FRoy DChychrun DFehérváry DCarlson DSandin Dvan Riemsdyk DThompson G
FLAWSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Jakob ChychrunWSH2426:591:072:3661
Sam ReinhartFLA2623:250:542:0454
John CarlsonWSH2122:431:052:3905
Seth JonesFLA2522:190:542:0155
Aaron EkbladFLA2822:010:471:3623
Brad MarchandFLA2421:280:542:0141
Dylan StromeWSH1920:561:062:3840
Sam BennettFLA2420:510:522:0141
Tom WilsonWSH2420:480:522:4846
Alex OvechkinWSH1820:241:083:1740
Anton LundellFLA2620:140:471:4646
Niko MikkolaFLA2319:150:501:1714
Gustav ForslingFLA2719:030:421:3502
Matt RoyWSH2117:380:501:4415
Aliaksei ProtasWSH2317:190:451:0925
Martin FehérváryWSH2017:050:512:0503
Connor McMichaelWSH2216:280:451:1613
Eetu LuostarinenFLA2116:210:471:4841
Rasmus SandinWSH1715:560:561:3924
Mackie SamoskevichFLA1915:500:502:1970
Evan RodriguesFLA2215:500:432:0161
Carter VerhaegheFLA2014:550:451:4921
Justin SourdifWSH1914:390:461:1122
Nic DowdWSH1814:380:491:3523
Trevor van RiemsdykWSH1814:350:491:4423
Anthony BeauvillierWSH2014:170:431:0611
Jeff PetryFLA1914:160:452:5322
Ryan LeonardWSH1814:130:472:1930
Uvis BalinskisFLA1913:540:441:3321
A.J. GreerFLA1610:380:401:5230
Ethen FrankWSH158:530:360:4532
Jesper BoqvistFLA107:390:461:0422
Brandon DuhaimeWSH106:340:390:5112
Hendrix LapierreWSH106:090:370:5721
Luke KuninFLA85:580:451:1022
Jack StudnickaFLA74:530:420:5222