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Ice Lab

Mon, Jan 5, 2026·Capital One Arena, Washington

Anaheim Ducks 4, Washington Capitals 7

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 51% of the time.

WSH winsANA wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against ANA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

McTavish–Gauthier–SenneckeKreider–Terry–CarlssonGranlund–Strome–NesterenkoKillorn–Johnston–PoehlingTerry–Gauthier–CarlssonMoore–MintyukovTrouba–ZellwegerGudas–ZellwegerGudas–LaCombeTrouba–LaCombeLaCombe–MooreGudas–MintyukovMoore–Zellweger
McMichael–Sourdif–Leonard2:020.00–0.172:110.21–0.054:380.28–0.191:550.03–0.162:470.00–0.231:570.00–0.161:540.00–0.092:230.58–0.05
Dowd–Duhaime–Frank3:480.34–0.231:570.20–0.001:060.00–0.041:390.00–0.002:090.00–0.001:500.05–0.021:470.12–0.001:320.08–0.001:290.29–0.21
Ovechkin–Strome–Beauvillier2:440.01–0.151:510.01–0.030:450.33–0.002:540.03–0.145:290.34–0.201:030.00–0.090:520.00–0.030:350.03–0.07
Beauvillier–McMichael–Sourdif1:310.00–0.050:510.00–0.050:430.00–0.01
Milano–Lapierre–Frank0:440.25–0.000:360.00–0.001:170.25–0.00
Milano–Beauvillier–Lapierre0:480.00–0.090:480.00–0.09
Dowd–Milano–Frank0:370.00–0.020:300.00–0.05
Dowd–Duhaime–Lapierre0:490.00–0.030:560.00–0.03
Ovechkin–Strome–Frank0:480.00–0.200:430.00–0.20
Roy–Chychrun3:330.05–0.353:160.17–0.003:140.25–0.092:070.00–0.200:320.00–0.004:370.00–0.291:440.05–0.152:050.00–0.003:010.08–0.002:000.34–0.20
Carlson–Fehérváry3:220.00–0.073:410.17–0.083:400.64–0.030:460.00–0.045:480.45–0.113:060.04–0.081:420.25–0.001:070.01–0.030:560.12–0.01
van Riemsdyk–Sandin0:520.00–0.022:130.14–0.081:370.00–0.201:180.00–0.072:030.00–0.181:590.00–0.121:020.12–0.001:180.00–0.03
McIlrath–Sandin0:420.00–0.002:170.00–0.101:200.00–0.020:350.00–0.000:500.00–0.03
Roy–Sandin0:500.00–0.100:440.00–0.000:300.05–0.00
Roy–Fehérváry0:470.00–0.000:340.00–0.000:350.00–0.04
van Riemsdyk–Chychrun
Carlson–Sandin0:460.00–0.010:430.00–0.01
Fehérváry–Sandin0:450.29–0.001:020.29–0.00
Chychrun–Sandin0:470.00–0.05
Carlson–Chychrun
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndLeonard FMcMichael FSourdif FOvechkin FDowd FBeauvillier FDuhaime FStrome FFrank FMilano FLapierre FFehérváry DCarlson DRoy Dvan Riemsdyk DSandin DChychrun DMcIlrath DLindgren GTerry FKreider FCarlsson FMcTavish FSennecke FGranlund FGauthier FPoehling FKillorn FJohnston FNesterenko FStrome FGudas DZellweger DLaCombe DTrouba DMintyukov DMoore DMrazek GDostal G
WSHANAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Pavel MintyukovANA2922:500:471:2274
Matt RoyWSH2522:220:541:3907
Jakob ChychrunWSH2322:160:581:4946
Connor McMichaelWSH3121:370:421:1539
Ian MooreANA2821:090:451:2264
Anthony BeauvillierWSH3220:580:391:1447
Martin FehérváryWSH2620:130:471:3214
Nic DowdWSH2820:030:431:1219
John CarlsonWSH2519:400:471:4224
Olen ZellwegerANA2619:400:451:3150
Jacob TroubaANA2818:480:401:4451
Rasmus SandinWSH2418:450:471:2218
Beckett SenneckeANA2518:250:441:3050
Cutter GauthierANA2118:200:521:3620
Mikael GranlundANA2217:410:481:2856
Troy TerryANA2117:290:501:1532
Radko GudasANA2317:290:461:3221
Jackson LaCombeANA2617:270:401:1441
Mason McTavishANA2217:060:471:3040
Justin SourdifWSH2616:590:391:1338
Leo CarlssonANA2116:540:481:4641
Dylan StromeWSH2516:480:402:0154
Alex OvechkinWSH2516:390:402:2040
Ethen FrankWSH2516:180:391:11010
Brandon DuhaimeWSH2716:040:361:0407
Ryan LeonardWSH2315:560:421:2546
Chris KreiderANA2014:490:441:1431
Ryan PoehlingANA1712:530:451:5361
Nikita NesterenkoANA1612:250:471:2234
Alex KillornANA1712:070:431:1342
Trevor van RiemsdykWSH1411:070:481:2505
Ryan StromeANA1510:510:431:2824
Ross JohnstonANA1410:100:441:0351
Hendrix LapierreWSH76:250:551:0610
Sonny MilanoWSH86:080:461:1012
Dylan McIlrathWSH95:420:381:1004