Tue, Jan 6, 2026·Lenovo Center, Raleigh
Dallas Stars 3, Carolina Hurricanes 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 53% of the time.
44%
8%
9%
39%
CAR winsDAL wins
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 22:50 | 0.02 | 28.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:47 | 0.03 | 57.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:09 | 0.01 | 55.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −3 | 3 | 20:24 | 0.63 | 40.7% | +1.8 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19:42 | 1.18 | 41.4% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:32 | 0.09 | 35.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 18:30 | 0.41 | 24.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:27 | 0.00 | 11.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:17 | 0.50 | 40.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 15:35 | 0.08 | 27.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:35 | 0.21 | 40.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:00 | 0.10 | 66.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:44 | 0.04 | 46.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:20 | 0.00 | 8.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:48 | 0.08 | 40.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:38 | 0.00 | 47.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:56 | 0.12 | 55.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:57 | 0.19 | 42.7% | 0.0 |
| – | 18 | 17 | 1 | .944 | 1.86 | +0.9 | 32:56 | |
| L | 15 | 10 | 5 | .667 | 2.01 | −3.0 | 26:59 |
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21:31 | 0.18 | 49.7% | +15.1 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 2 | 20:20 | 0.20 | 65.2% | +35.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:05 | 0.04 | 52.9% | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 19:56 | 0.06 | 67.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 2 | 18:53 | 0.52 | 48.7% | +40.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 18:01 | 0.46 | 61.9% | +18.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:05 | 0.13 | 55.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 16:45 | 0.22 | 69.4% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 16:45 | 0.50 | 60.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:45 | 0.57 | 71.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:17 | 0.05 | 62.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 1 | 15:45 | 0.30 | 65.1% | +12.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:43 | 0.21 | 56.0% | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:42 | 0.05 | 47.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:24 | 0.03 | 61.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 11:55 | 0.27 | 81.4% | +1.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:47 | 0.00 | 88.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:38 | 0.09 | 81.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 23 | 21 | 3 | .913 | 3.68 | +0.7 | 59:41 |