Tue, Jan 6, 2026·Lenovo Center, Raleigh
Dallas Stars 3, Carolina Hurricanes 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 53% of the time.
44%
8%
9%
39%
CAR winsDAL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against DAL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Duchene–Rantanen–Johnston | Hintz–Robertson–Bourque | Blackwell–Faksa–Bäck | Erne–Steel–Hryckowian | Rantanen–Hintz–Robertson | Rantanen–Robertson–Johnston | Duchene–Bourque–Hryckowian | Rantanen–Steel–Hryckowian | Lindell–Heiskanen | Lundkvist–Lyubushkin | Petrovic–Harley | Lyubushkin–Harley | Heiskanen–Harley | Petrovic–Lyubushkin | Petrovic–Lindell | Lundkvist–Harley | Heiskanen–Lundkvist | Petrovic–Lundkvist | Lindell–Harley | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hall–Stankoven–Blake | 0:560.15–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 4:220.16–0.25 | 0:310.14–0.00 | 1:040.30–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.09 | 2:390.07–0.11 | 2:390.09–0.17 | 1:030.00–0.05 | 2:180.44–0.00 | 0:350.15–0.00 | 1:050.10–0.00 | 0:360.03–0.05 | ||||||
| Ehlers–Aho–Svechnikov | 5:280.62–0.32 | 0:490.01–0.16 | 2:190.15–0.47 | 1:030.09–0.00 | 1:290.25–0.05 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:390.07–0.01 | |||||||||||
| Staal–Martinook–Jarvis | 0:330.00–0.00 | 5:290.40–0.13 | 0:550.08–0.00 | 1:480.09–0.04 | 0:400.05–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.09 | 1:040.17–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:340.04–0.01 | ||||||||||
| Carrier–Robinson–Philp | 3:460.05–0.01 | 1:050.00–0.01 | 1:360.04–0.00 | 0:550.01–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:540.06–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Martinook–Carrier–Robinson | 1:350.01–0.01 | 0:300.06–0.00 | 1:090.06–0.01 | 0:430.01–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Svechnikov–Stankoven–Blake | 1:040.00–0.32 | 1:180.00–0.32 | |||||||||||||||||
| Staal–Carrier–Jarvis | 0:460.08–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Staal–Hall–Jarvis | 0:460.01–0.00 | 0:460.01–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||
| Walker–Miller | 5:510.88–0.32 | 2:390.13–0.04 | 1:200.01–0.19 | 1:480.12–0.16 | 4:160.44–0.48 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 2:150.23–0.05 | 1:010.05–0.00 | 0:420.15–0.00 | 0:320.21–0.00 | 1:370.06–0.00 | 0:390.07–0.01 | 1:160.01–0.19 | 0:510.00–0.00 | |||||
| Gostisbehere–Chatfield | 0:520.00–0.00 | 3:080.26–0.04 | 1:490.00–0.00 | 1:410.13–0.09 | 1:040.00–0.32 | 1:520.00–0.08 | 1:540.09–0.07 | 2:240.09–0.04 | 2:000.00–0.33 | 2:190.00–0.09 | 1:310.17–0.00 | 1:160.18–0.00 | 0:360.04–0.00 | ||||||
| Nikishin–Nystrom | 0:370.12–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.09 | 3:140.05–0.01 | 3:200.07–0.25 | 0:390.00–0.04 | 3:220.07–0.11 | 3:000.16–0.13 | 1:210.27–0.05 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 1:120.06–0.00 | 1:070.01–0.01 | 0:370.03–0.05 | |||||||
| Walker–Nikishin | 1:010.11–0.00 | 1:010.11–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||
| Chatfield–Miller | 0:320.14–0.00 | 1:000.14–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
CARDALFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Thomas HarleyDAL | 27 | 22:50 | 0:51 | 1:53 | 2 | 0 |
 Miro HeiskanenDAL | 24 | 22:47 | 0:57 | 1:47 | 5 | 5 |
 Shayne GostisbehereCAR | 26 | 21:31 | 0:50 | 1:48 | 3 | 2 |
 Esa LindellDAL | 23 | 21:09 | 0:55 | 1:47 | 0 | 6 |
 Mikko RantanenDAL | 22 | 20:24 | 0:56 | 2:30 | 4 | 0 |
 K'Andre MillerCAR | 25 | 20:20 | 0:49 | 1:52 | 0 | 4 |
 Jalen ChatfieldCAR | 24 | 20:05 | 0:50 | 1:56 | 1 | 2 |
 Sean WalkerCAR | 25 | 19:56 | 0:48 | 2:04 | 0 | 4 |
 Jason RobertsonDAL | 25 | 19:42 | 0:47 | 2:13 | 5 | 0 |
 Ilya LyubushkinDAL | 20 | 19:32 | 0:59 | 2:14 | 1 | 3 |
 Andrei SvechnikovCAR | 21 | 18:53 | 0:54 | 1:50 | 3 | 1 |
 Wyatt JohnstonDAL | 20 | 18:30 | 0:56 | 2:36 | 2 | 0 |
 Seth JarvisCAR | 19 | 18:01 | 0:57 | 2:59 | 1 | 2 |
 Jordan StaalCAR | 23 | 17:05 | 0:45 | 1:30 | 3 | 5 |
 Sebastian AhoCAR | 21 | 16:45 | 0:48 | 1:49 | 4 | 1 |
 Jackson BlakeCAR | 16 | 16:45 | 1:03 | 1:45 | 2 | 0 |
 Taylor HallCAR | 17 | 16:45 | 0:59 | 1:59 | 2 | 2 |
 Alexander PetrovicDAL | 22 | 16:27 | 0:45 | 1:24 | 1 | 1 |
 Joel NystromCAR | 20 | 16:17 | 0:49 | 1:30 | 3 | 3 |
 Roope HintzDAL | 21 | 16:17 | 0:47 | 2:06 | 5 | 0 |
 Nikolaj EhlersCAR | 22 | 15:45 | 0:43 | 1:39 | 1 | 1 |
 Logan StankovenCAR | 16 | 15:43 | 0:59 | 1:29 | 3 | 1 |
 Jordan MartinookCAR | 20 | 15:42 | 0:47 | 2:37 | 1 | 2 |
 Matt DucheneDAL | 19 | 15:35 | 0:49 | 1:20 | 1 | 0 |
 Alexander NikishinCAR | 19 | 15:24 | 0:49 | 1:32 | 4 | 2 |
 Mavrik BourqueDAL | 19 | 14:35 | 0:46 | 1:17 | 2 | 0 |
 Sam SteelDAL | 17 | 14:00 | 0:49 | 1:23 | 1 | 5 |
 Nils LundkvistDAL | 19 | 13:44 | 0:43 | 1:20 | 4 | 3 |
 Colin BlackwellDAL | 15 | 13:20 | 0:53 | 1:22 | 0 | 6 |
 Radek FaksaDAL | 18 | 12:48 | 0:43 | 1:28 | 0 | 8 |
 Oskar BäckDAL | 18 | 12:38 | 0:42 | 1:34 | 0 | 6 |
 Justin HryckowianDAL | 15 | 11:56 | 0:48 | 1:06 | 1 | 3 |
 William CarrierCAR | 16 | 11:55 | 0:45 | 1:10 | 5 | 1 |
 Eric RobinsonCAR | 15 | 11:47 | 0:47 | 1:18 | 3 | 1 |
 Noah PhilpCAR | 10 | 7:38 | 0:46 | 1:14 | 2 | 1 |
 Adam ErneDAL | 9 | 6:57 | 0:46 | 1:27 | 0 | 2 |