Sat, Jan 10, 2026·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Anaheim Ducks 3, Buffalo Sabres 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 74% of the time.
67%
18%
BUF winsANA wins
Anaheim Ducks
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 21:05 | 0.01 | 43.7% | +1.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 20:58 | 0.08 | 22.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 20:03 | 0.48 | 52.9% | +3.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19:51 | 0.32 | 63.7% | +1.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19:34 | 0.30 | 75.8% | +1.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:29 | 0.14 | 62.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:25 | 0.12 | 43.9% | +3.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 18:58 | 0.03 | 20.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18:54 | 0.41 | 49.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 16:57 | 0.25 | 54.5% | +3.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:29 | 0.00 | 49.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 15:03 | 0.14 | 60.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:24 | 0.00 | 36.2% | +0.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:55 | 0.16 | 45.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:31 | 0.03 | 35.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:47 | 0.01 | 10.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:18 | 0.05 | 9.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:33 | 0.00 | 12.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 31 | 27 | 4 | .871 | 3.00 | −1.0 | 58:46 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 25:56 | 0.40 | 65.3% | +3.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 25:37 | 0.11 | 37.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:59 | 0.05 | 37.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 22:03 | 0.04 | 65.5% | +1.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19:49 | 0.29 | 48.3% | +17.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 19:10 | 0.14 | 67.3% | +2.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 17:18 | 0.00 | 70.9% | +11.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:39 | 0.38 | 63.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 15:48 | 0.13 | 45.9% | +17.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15:12 | 1.37 | 59.1% | +2.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 15:09 | 0.00 | 42.6% | +13.8 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13:51 | 0.63 | 58.5% | +13.1 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 13:41 | 0.41 | 64.6% | +13.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 11:04 | 0.00 | 41.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:32 | 0.03 | 9.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:07 | 0.02 | 75.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 10:05 | 0.03 | 85.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:00 | 0.00 | 33.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 36 | 33 | 3 | .917 | 2.51 | −0.5 | 60:00 |