Sun, Jan 11, 2026·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville
Washington Capitals 2, Nashville Predators 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 63% of the time.
28%
9%
9%
55%
NSH winsWSH wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
NSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Ovechkin–Strome–Protas | Dowd–Beauvillier–Frank | McMichael–Protas–Leonard | McMichael–Sourdif–Leonard | Ovechkin–Strome–Frank | Duhaime–Leason–Lapierre | Ovechkin–Strome–Beauvillier | Beauvillier–Leason–Lapierre | Dowd–Beauvillier–Leason | Dowd–Leason–Frank | Ovechkin–Strome–Leonard | Dowd–Protas–Frank | McMichael–Protas–Frank | Roy–Fehérváry | Carlson–Sandin | van Riemsdyk–Chisholm | Carlson–Fehérváry | Roy–Sandin | Roy–Chisholm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| McCarron–Smith–Schaefer | 3:260.17–0.13 | 0:400.06–0.12 | 0:380.02–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 1:060.14–0.00 | 1:050.02–0.00 | 4:130.25–0.19 | 1:400.14–0.04 | 0:320.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| O'Reilly–Bunting–Evangelista | 0:590.00–0.00 | 0:450.01–0.02 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 2:280.00–0.07 | 0:560.01–0.06 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Jost–Svechkov–Wood | 0:570.08–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:460.04–0.00 | 0:480.08–0.02 | 1:380.01–0.00 | 1:080.16–0.02 | 2:150.04–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Stamkos–Haula–Forsberg | 1:220.06–0.05 | 0:490.00–0.09 | 1:010.01–0.01 | 3:240.07–0.16 | 1:140.01–0.04 | ||||||||||||||
| Stamkos–Haula–Bunting | 1:260.06–0.02 | 2:010.07–0.02 | |||||||||||||||||
| O'Reilly–Forsberg–Evangelista | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 1:430.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Stamkos–Haula–Schaefer | 0:570.00–0.05 | 1:230.00–0.05 | |||||||||||||||||
| Haula–Bunting–Wood | |||||||||||||||||||
| Skjei–Wilsby | 1:000.05–0.20 | 1:470.00–0.03 | 2:470.05–0.02 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 1:200.02–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 1:040.14–0.00 | 0:570.00–0.05 | 5:300.03–0.27 | 1:360.05–0.00 | 4:290.14–0.08 | 0:320.04–0.01 | 0:560.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Josi–Perbix | 2:200.10–0.13 | 1:350.00–0.07 | 1:450.06–0.14 | 0:470.02–0.00 | 1:230.04–0.00 | 1:500.00–0.00 | 6:050.26–0.23 | 1:060.04–0.01 | 0:380.00–0.05 | ||||||||||
| Hague–Blankenburg | 0:430.00–0.00 | 1:420.06–0.07 | 1:530.00–0.10 | 1:230.00–0.03 | 0:550.00–0.00 | 5:020.06–0.17 | 1:220.02–0.04 | 1:220.00–0.00 | 1:100.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Skjei–Hague | 0:410.07–0.00 | 0:380.07–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Hague–Perbix | 0:530.08–0.02 | 0:380.08–0.02 | |||||||||||||||||
| Skjei–Blankenburg |
Every shift, one row per player.
NSHWSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 John CarlsonWSH | 24 | 26:43 | 1:07 | 2:43 | 6 | 3 |
 Brady SkjeiNSH | 21 | 22:45 | 1:05 | 2:09 | 1 | 5 |
 Matt RoyWSH | 22 | 22:31 | 1:01 | 1:56 | 1 | 6 |
 Martin FehérváryWSH | 24 | 22:20 | 0:56 | 2:04 | 1 | 6 |
 Roman JosiNSH | 22 | 21:53 | 1:00 | 2:15 | 5 | 2 |
 Dylan StromeWSH | 21 | 21:53 | 1:03 | 2:47 | 5 | 1 |
 Ryan O'ReillyNSH | 24 | 21:15 | 0:53 | 2:15 | 6 | 1 |
 Aliaksei ProtasWSH | 23 | 20:26 | 0:53 | 2:14 | 4 | 2 |
 Steven StamkosNSH | 21 | 19:52 | 0:57 | 2:54 | 4 | 3 |
 Alex OvechkinWSH | 23 | 19:26 | 0:51 | 2:58 | 6 | 0 |
 Anthony BeauvillierWSH | 27 | 19:23 | 0:43 | 1:20 | 2 | 5 |
 Connor McMichaelWSH | 30 | 18:38 | 0:37 | 1:06 | 4 | 6 |
 Filip ForsbergNSH | 21 | 18:16 | 0:52 | 2:15 | 6 | 3 |
 Nic DowdWSH | 26 | 18:16 | 0:42 | 1:39 | 2 | 8 |
 Nicolas HagueNSH | 22 | 18:08 | 0:49 | 2:06 | 2 | 2 |
 Ethen FrankWSH | 21 | 18:06 | 0:52 | 2:17 | 2 | 2 |
 Erik HaulaNSH | 22 | 17:45 | 0:48 | 2:20 | 1 | 2 |
 Nick BlankenburgNSH | 22 | 17:43 | 0:48 | 1:35 | 4 | 1 |
 Rasmus SandinWSH | 20 | 17:20 | 0:52 | 1:25 | 2 | 1 |
 Ryan LeonardWSH | 20 | 17:18 | 0:52 | 2:41 | 7 | 1 |
 Adam WilsbyNSH | 21 | 16:20 | 0:47 | 2:07 | 3 | 4 |
 Cole SmithNSH | 20 | 16:16 | 0:49 | 1:33 | 2 | 6 |
 Michael McCarronNSH | 21 | 15:57 | 0:46 | 1:30 | 2 | 6 |
 Luke EvangelistaNSH | 16 | 15:49 | 0:59 | 2:15 | 3 | 1 |
 Nick PerbixNSH | 20 | 15:38 | 0:47 | 1:24 | 2 | 4 |
 Michael BuntingNSH | 17 | 14:40 | 0:52 | 1:44 | 1 | 0 |
 Trevor van RiemsdykWSH | 15 | 11:35 | 0:46 | 1:23 | 2 | 1 |
 Matthew WoodNSH | 13 | 11:21 | 0:52 | 1:56 | 3 | 1 |
 Reid SchaeferNSH | 14 | 11:17 | 0:48 | 1:31 | 1 | 2 |
 Declan ChisholmWSH | 14 | 11:11 | 0:48 | 1:24 | 1 | 0 |
 Brett LeasonWSH | 14 | 9:30 | 0:41 | 1:01 | 2 | 3 |
 Fedor SvechkovNSH | 13 | 8:57 | 0:41 | 1:10 | 2 | 1 |
 Tyson JostNSH | 11 | 8:42 | 0:47 | 1:08 | 3 | 1 |
 Justin SourdifWSH | 8 | 6:17 | 0:47 | 1:17 | 4 | 1 |
 Brandon DuhaimeWSH | 9 | 5:46 | 0:38 | 1:12 | 0 | 1 |
 Hendrix LapierreWSH | 7 | 5:23 | 0:46 | 1:06 | 0 | 1 |