Thu, Jan 15, 2026·Capital One Arena, Washington
San Jose Sharks 3, Washington Capitals 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 58% of the time.
33%
9%
9%
48%
WSH winsSJS wins
San Jose Sharks
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 6 | 25:07 | 0.52 | 50.8% | +16.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 20:46 | 0.11 | 70.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 20:25 | 0.00 | 70.6% | +26.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:06 | 0.17 | 75.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 20:06 | 0.32 | 56.0% | +35.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 19:32 | 0.19 | 75.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:04 | 0.01 | 75.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:56 | 0.06 | 35.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:38 | 0.19 | 58.1% | +26.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:43 | 0.03 | 34.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:39 | 0.14 | 63.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:28 | 0.20 | 63.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:46 | 0.00 | 78.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 13:46 | 0.23 | 56.6% | +35.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:33 | 0.07 | 37.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10:54 | 0.27 | 55.5% | +26.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:58 | 0.30 | 70.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:21 | 0.00 | 61.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 23 | 21 | 2 | .913 | 2.39 | +0.4 | 60:00 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 28:19 | 0.12 | 35.4% | +23.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25:45 | 0.09 | 53.1% | +15.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 22:19 | 0.31 | 29.6% | +23.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 21:34 | 0.15 | 49.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 21:21 | 0.31 | 36.8% | +23.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:51 | 0.10 | 28.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 18:35 | 0.20 | 33.3% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:35 | 0.01 | 47.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:29 | 0.00 | 34.1% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:12 | 0.00 | 37.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:49 | 0.00 | 56.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:37 | 0.30 | 20.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 15:24 | 0.81 | 56.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:40 | 0.00 | 34.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:26 | 0.00 | 18.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:28 | 0.00 | 19.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:30 | 0.00 | 47.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:05 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 26 | 23 | 3 | .885 | 2.81 | −0.2 | 57:01 |