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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 15, 2026·Capital One Arena, Washington

San Jose Sharks 3, Washington Capitals 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 58% of the time.

WSH winsSJS wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against SJS's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Toffoli–Wennberg–EklundCelebrini–Graf–ChernyshovReaves–Goodrow–OstapchukRegenda–Celebrini–GrafGaudette–Chernyshov–MisaGaudette–Regenda–MisaEklund–Celebrini–GrafGaudette–Graf–MisaReaves–Goodrow–CelebriniIorio–DickinsonOrlov–KlingbergFerraro–LiljegrenOrlov–Ferraro
Ovechkin–Strome–Frank1:580.08–0.210:410.00–0.000:590.00–0.001:070.12–0.004:470.08–0.24
Beauvillier–McMichael–Protas1:210.01–0.004:080.31–0.241:140.00–0.223:010.31–0.031:230.01–0.17
Dowd–Leason–Leonard1:280.02–0.091:020.08–0.000:320.00–0.001:030.06–0.003:020.10–0.041:490.06–0.25
Milano–Duhaime–Lapierre2:200.00–0.050:430.00–0.001:130.00–0.051:310.00–0.001:010.00–0.00
Ovechkin–Strome–Protas1:310.00–0.001:050.09–0.000:450.11–0.000:320.09–0.000:550.00–0.002:150.12–0.00
Dowd–Duhaime–Leason0:440.00–0.000:350.00–0.000:350.00–0.000:440.00–0.000:350.00–0.000:350.00–0.00
Dowd–Beauvillier–Protas1:040.31–0.000:450.04–0.28
McMichael–Protas–Leonard0:360.00–0.000:420.05–0.001:280.05–0.00
Ovechkin–Strome–Leonard0:550.00–0.10
Beauvillier–McMichael–Leonard0:350.31–0.000:470.02–0.00
Beauvillier–McMichael–Frank0:300.00–0.001:160.00–0.00
Dowd–Duhaime–Frank0:470.00–0.00
Roy–Chychrun2:270.00–0.120:580.00–0.001:480.00–0.051:030.05–0.001:050.00–0.001:570.13–0.054:180.05–0.202:270.00–0.12
Carlson–Chychrun1:390.00–0.090:310.00–0.010:410.04–0.001:160.01–0.000:510.09–0.001:230.11–0.002:460.09–0.052:010.04–0.053:330.16–0.00
Carlson–Fehérváry3:260.11–0.083:220.31–0.511:120.31–0.003:100.33–0.212:500.31–0.312:290.09–0.25
Roy–Sandin0:360.00–0.001:150.08–0.001:060.00–0.232:130.08–0.001:200.02–0.001:480.00–0.27
McIlrath–Sandin1:160.00–0.000:430.00–0.000:350.00–0.002:050.00–0.001:020.00–0.061:160.00–0.00
Carlson–Sandin0:470.00–0.090:340.00–0.001:120.31–0.000:430.00–0.090:360.00–0.00
Roy–Fehérváry0:490.01–0.000:340.00–0.00
Fehérváry–Sandin0:340.01–0.10
Chychrun–Sandin1:030.06–0.001:130.06–0.00
McIlrath–Fehérváry
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndProtas FMcMichael FBeauvillier FOvechkin FFrank FStrome FLeason FDowd FLeonard FMilano FDuhaime FLapierre FFehérváry DCarlson DRoy DChychrun DSandin DMcIlrath DThompson GGraf FCelebrini FChernyshov FEklund FToffoli FWennberg FGaudette FRegenda FMisa FGoodrow FOstapchuk FReaves FKlingberg DOrlov DLiljegren DFerraro DIorio DDickinson DNedeljkovic G
WSHSJSFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Jakob ChychrunWSH2728:191:032:5962
John CarlsonWSH2525:451:022:5942
Macklin CelebriniSJS2125:071:122:1444
Dylan StromeWSH2122:191:042:5971
Aliaksei ProtasWSH2121:341:022:5953
Alex OvechkinWSH1921:211:072:5970
Matt RoyWSH2420:510:521:2843
John KlingbergSJS1820:461:092:1921
Dmitry OrlovSJS2020:251:012:0012
Alexander WennbergSJS2220:060:551:5527
Collin GrafSJS2320:060:521:5643
Mario FerraroSJS2119:320:561:5125
Timothy LiljegrenSJS2219:040:521:5105
Ryan LeonardWSH2118:350:532:4451
Rasmus SandinWSH2118:350:531:3922
Vincent IorioSJS1617:561:072:1231
William EklundSJS1817:380:592:0633
Martin FehérváryWSH2117:290:501:3014
Sam DickinsonSJS1616:431:032:1531
Nic DowdWSH1916:120:511:4414
Connor McMichaelWSH2115:490:451:4334
Igor ChernyshovSJS1715:390:551:2920
Ethen FrankWSH1915:370:491:3651
Adam GaudetteSJS1715:280:551:3802
Anthony BeauvillierWSH1915:240:491:2423
Tyler ToffoliSJS1613:460:522:2123
Pavol RegendaSJS1813:460:461:2711
Barclay GoodrowSJS1411:330:501:5112
Zack OstapchukSJS1510:540:441:4912
Michael MisaSJS149:580:431:0920
Brett LeasonWSH139:400:451:2011
Brandon DuhaimeWSH149:260:401:1902
Ryan ReavesSJS98:210:561:4910
Sonny MilanoWSH107:280:451:1000
Hendrix LapierreWSH96:300:430:5700
Dylan McIlrathWSH96:050:411:2000