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Ice Lab

Fri, Jan 16, 2026·Enterprise Center, St. Louis

Tampa Bay Lightning 2, St. Louis Blues 3 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 83% of the time.

STL winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Shift data for this game has gaps, so treat the charts as approximate.

Line matchups

STL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Gourde–Girgensons–HolmbergKucherov–Cirelli–HagelGuentzel–Paul–GoncalvesKucherov–Guentzel–PaulBjorkstrand–Finley–JamesCirelli–Hagel–GoncalvesCernak–D'AstousRaddysh–MoserCrozier–CarlileRaddysh–D'AstousCrozier–Moser
Schenn–Snuggerud–Stenberg2:520.04–0.062:340.00–0.031:330.00–0.010:440.00–0.111:280.02–0.052:320.02–0.064:190.00–0.143:000.02–0.030:410.02–0.05
Kyrou–Neighbours–Dvorsky4:100.00–0.211:390.00–0.230:460.00–0.020:420.00–0.004:070.00–0.062:020.19–0.111:480.00–0.060:460.00–0.05
Sundqvist–Walker–Toropchenko0:510.00–0.021:070.00–0.151:500.01–0.122:570.22–0.030:490.00–0.002:210.01–0.023:540.21–0.180:560.00–0.001:070.00–0.15
Bjugstad–Buchnevich–Berggren2:240.02–0.042:090.04–0.120:430.00–0.001:020.10–0.170:500.03–0.000:380.00–0.003:070.10–0.091:400.04–0.202:400.05–0.05
Schenn–Kyrou–Neighbours0:470.00–0.001:120.00–0.000:400.06–0.00
Buchnevich–Berggren–Dvorsky1:230.00–0.351:160.00–0.35
Schenn–Buchnevich–Snuggerud0:500.00–0.13
Parayko–Broberg0:390.00–0.007:300.04–0.220:500.09–0.003:100.11–0.530:550.02–0.104:430.11–0.117:040.04–0.462:060.09–0.240:560.02–0.05
Faulk–Tucker2:260.04–0.003:160.00–0.180:420.00–0.112:070.04–0.030:350.00–0.001:350.02–0.002:140.00–0.035:240.06–0.140:470.06–0.000:420.00–0.15
Fowler–Mailloux4:010.02–0.171:020.00–0.142:030.21–0.002:170.00–0.145:250.00–0.162:590.21–0.141:120.02–0.14
Tucker–Mailloux2:380.00–0.092:060.00–0.040:520.00–0.04
Faulk–Fowler1:200.00–0.010:540.00–0.001:060.00–0.010:530.00–0.00
Faulk–Parayko1:320.00–0.240:490.00–0.240:460.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndToropchenko FWalker FSundqvist FStenberg FSnuggerud FSchenn FDvorsky FBerggren FBuchnevich FKyrou FNeighbours FBjugstad FFowler DMailloux DParayko DBroberg DFaulk DTucker DHofer GHagel FCirelli FGoncalves FGourde FHolmberg FGirgensons FPaul FKucherov FGuentzel FBjorkstrand FFinley FJames FD'Astous DCernak DRaddysh DMoser DCrozier DCarlile DVasilevskiy G
STLTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Darren RaddyshTBL2627:011:022:5871
Brandon HagelTBL2625:430:592:4472
Philip BrobergSTL3025:150:511:2833
Nikita KucherovTBL2423:370:593:5442
Justin FaulkSTL3023:080:461:4228
Colton ParaykoSTL2922:540:471:2514
J.J. MoserTBL2722:160:491:5083
Jake GuentzelTBL2322:100:583:1542
Charle-Edouard D'AstousTBL2321:260:561:2723
Anthony CirelliTBL2420:090:501:3493
Brayden SchennSTL2419:550:501:3823
Jimmy SnuggerudSTL2419:540:501:2213
Erik CernakTBL2519:400:471:1026
Pavel BuchnevichSTL2418:220:461:3435
Jordan KyrouSTL2318:190:481:4472
Cam FowlerSTL2818:010:391:0236
Yanni GourdeTBL2216:560:461:3426
Jake NeighboursSTL2116:360:471:5273
Max CrozierTBL2216:290:451:2321
Tyler TuckerSTL2115:580:461:2614
Logan MaillouxSTL2115:560:461:3044
Dalibor DvorskySTL2015:250:461:5961
Oskar SundqvistSTL2314:490:391:4135
Nick PaulTBL2314:280:381:2954
Zemgus GirgensonsTBL2114:220:411:1225
Pontus HolmbergTBL1914:190:451:2225
Otto StenbergSTL2114:100:401:0404
Nick BjugstadSTL2614:010:321:1737
Declan CarlileTBL1913:530:441:1221
Jonatan BerggrenSTL1813:420:461:2332
Oliver BjorkstrandTBL1512:550:521:5650
Alexey ToropchenkoSTL1912:250:391:0223
Gage GoncalvesTBL1511:500:471:3651
Nathan WalkerSTL1811:280:381:1423
Dominic JamesTBL138:060:371:2330
Jack FinleyTBL147:080:310:5841