Sat, Jan 17, 2026·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Montréal Canadiens 6, Ottawa Senators 5 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 74% of the time.
66%
19%
OTT winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 2 | 26:22 | 0.20 | 39.5% | +71.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 23:57 | 0.03 | 44.8% | +17.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 21:54 | 0.01 | 48.4% | +17.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 21:25 | 0.38 | 51.5% | +29.1 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 20:00 | 0.45 | 21.0% | +23.7 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 19:19 | 0.48 | 38.7% | +78.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:12 | 0.04 | 15.3% | +45.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:42 | 0.00 | 17.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:32 | 0.01 | 42.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:20 | 0.07 | 56.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:07 | 0.15 | 5.6% | +45.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 14:04 | 0.00 | 16.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:36 | 0.31 | 61.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:56 | 0.00 | 57.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 12:53 | 0.09 | 40.6% | +62.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:48 | 0.00 | 21.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 10:59 | 0.00 | 55.8% | +8.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:40 | 0.00 | 30.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 34 | 29 | 5 | .853 | 3.67 | −1.3 | 60:12 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 25:39 | 0.30 | 65.4% | +73.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22:13 | 0.33 | 39.4% | +34.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21:45 | 0.00 | 63.6% | +29.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:42 | 0.14 | 40.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 18:14 | 0.44 | 67.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:36 | 0.01 | 51.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 17:35 | 0.00 | 69.8% | +14.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 17:30 | 0.00 | 72.7% | +12.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 8 | 16:14 | 1.17 | 51.3% | +14.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:57 | 0.02 | 99.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:54 | 0.39 | 38.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:51 | 0.01 | 89.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:21 | 0.06 | 50.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:17 | 0.30 | 87.2% | +17.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 10:50 | 0.03 | 100.0% | +17.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 10:37 | 0.23 | 65.4% | +29.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:36 | 0.06 | 34.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:56 | 0.16 | 98.8% | +17.0 |
| O | 19 | 13 | 6 | .684 | 2.21 | −3.8 | 60:33 |