Sat, Jan 17, 2026·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Montréal Canadiens 6, Ottawa Senators 5 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 74% of the time.
66%
19%
OTT winsMTL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against MTL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Evans–Veleno–Bolduc | Gallagher–Danault–Anderson | Suzuki–Texier–Caufield | Kapanen–Slafkovský–Demidov | Suzuki–Caufield–Slafkovský | Gallagher–Kapanen–Slafkovský | Anderson–Evans–Veleno | Gallagher–Anderson–Veleno | Matheson–Dobson | Carrier–Hutson | Guhle–Hutson | Carrier–Guhle | Guhle–Xhekaj | Xhekaj–Hutson | Matheson–Carrier | Dobson–Hutson | Matheson–Hutson | Matheson–Guhle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perron–Eller–Cousins | 3:010.08–0.00 | 3:090.01–0.00 | 0:470.03–0.00 | 0:520.09–0.00 | 3:480.08–0.00 | 1:070.09–0.00 | 1:020.00–0.00 | 1:230.03–0.00 | 0:510.09–0.00 | |||||||||
| Amadio–Tkachuk–Stützle | 0:550.00–0.06 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 1:120.00–0.23 | 1:460.01–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 1:460.07–0.23 | 1:490.00–0.00 | 1:370.01–0.06 | 0:420.01–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Giroux–Pinto–Greig | 0:390.00–0.03 | 2:110.00–0.06 | 2:390.30–0.08 | 2:140.30–0.11 | 1:200.00–0.00 | 1:070.00–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Zetterlund–Batherson–Cozens | 1:310.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:390.06–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.00 | 0:480.06–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Tkachuk–Cozens–Greig | 2:210.18–0.10 | 0:320.13–0.00 | 0:590.20–0.00 | 1:520.22–0.10 | 1:220.30–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Zetterlund–Batherson–Stützle | 1:140.00–0.26 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:210.00–0.01 | 1:090.00–0.25 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.01 | ||||||||||||
| Giroux–Amadio–Pinto | 1:540.00–0.00 | 1:290.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Batherson–Tkachuk–Stützle | 0:320.00–0.17 | 0:370.12–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Jensen–Chabot | 2:390.00–0.31 | 3:160.13–0.03 | 2:040.08–0.23 | 2:400.00–0.00 | 1:020.09–0.00 | 3:390.28–0.51 | 2:450.00–0.00 | 2:370.09–0.06 | 1:110.00–0.00 | 1:260.03–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 0:350.12–0.00 | ||||||
| Sanderson–Zub | 1:470.10–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.08 | 3:300.00–0.06 | 1:070.16–0.00 | 2:550.31–0.00 | 1:050.00–0.00 | 4:260.30–0.00 | 3:000.00–0.00 | 1:220.01–0.00 | 0:390.10–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.06 | 1:080.16–0.00 | ||||||
| Spence–Kleven | 4:560.16–0.01 | 2:490.01–0.00 | 1:320.21–0.00 | 1:230.09–0.00 | 0:500.08–0.00 | 4:510.16–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 2:520.29–0.01 | 0:480.01–0.00 | 2:080.16–0.00 | |||||||
| Chabot–Zub | 0:520.00–0.10 | 1:150.00–0.10 | ||||||||||||||||
| Jensen–Sanderson | 0:530.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
OTTMTLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Lane HutsonMTL | 26 | 26:22 | 1:01 | 2:07 | 6 | 1 |
 Jake SandersonOTT | 37 | 25:39 | 0:42 | 1:22 | 4 | 6 |
 Mike MathesonMTL | 29 | 23:59 | 0:50 | 1:53 | 1 | 8 |
 Tim StützleOTT | 30 | 22:13 | 0:44 | 1:49 | 5 | 1 |
 Noah DobsonMTL | 29 | 21:54 | 0:45 | 2:04 | 0 | 7 |
 Artem ZubOTT | 33 | 21:45 | 0:40 | 1:34 | 1 | 7 |
 Thomas ChabotOTT | 32 | 21:42 | 0:41 | 1:55 | 2 | 2 |
 Nick SuzukiMTL | 25 | 21:25 | 0:51 | 1:39 | 6 | 1 |
 Juraj SlafkovskýMTL | 22 | 20:00 | 0:55 | 2:11 | 7 | 2 |
 Cole CaufieldMTL | 23 | 19:19 | 0:50 | 1:34 | 7 | 1 |
 Shane PintoOTT | 29 | 18:14 | 0:38 | 1:34 | 4 | 7 |
 Nick JensenOTT | 27 | 17:36 | 0:39 | 1:57 | 1 | 1 |
 Claude GirouxOTT | 30 | 17:35 | 0:35 | 1:03 | 4 | 3 |
 Ridly GreigOTT | 29 | 17:30 | 0:36 | 0:54 | 5 | 7 |
 Alexandre CarrierMTL | 24 | 17:12 | 0:43 | 1:22 | 0 | 4 |
 Brady TkachukOTT | 24 | 16:14 | 0:41 | 1:23 | 3 | 1 |
 Tyler KlevenOTT | 24 | 15:57 | 0:40 | 1:18 | 8 | 1 |
 Kaiden GuhleMTL | 18 | 15:42 | 0:52 | 1:29 | 0 | 2 |
 Joseph VelenoMTL | 19 | 15:32 | 0:49 | 1:24 | 1 | 4 |
 Jake EvansMTL | 21 | 15:20 | 0:44 | 1:26 | 1 | 6 |
 Ivan DemidovMTL | 20 | 15:07 | 0:45 | 1:34 | 7 | 1 |
 Drake BathersonOTT | 24 | 14:54 | 0:37 | 1:22 | 6 | 0 |
 Jordan SpenceOTT | 23 | 14:51 | 0:39 | 1:08 | 7 | 0 |
 Oliver KapanenMTL | 18 | 14:04 | 0:47 | 2:08 | 1 | 3 |
 Zachary BolducMTL | 16 | 13:36 | 0:51 | 1:27 | 1 | 5 |
 Michael AmadioOTT | 18 | 13:21 | 0:45 | 1:10 | 2 | 1 |
 Dylan CozensOTT | 21 | 13:17 | 0:38 | 1:27 | 6 | 0 |
 Alexandre TexierMTL | 18 | 12:56 | 0:43 | 1:09 | 2 | 1 |
 Josh AndersonMTL | 20 | 12:53 | 0:39 | 1:08 | 2 | 2 |
 Brendan GallagherMTL | 15 | 12:48 | 0:51 | 2:10 | 2 | 1 |
 Phillip DanaultMTL | 19 | 10:59 | 0:35 | 0:57 | 3 | 3 |
 Nick CousinsOTT | 20 | 10:50 | 0:33 | 0:56 | 3 | 1 |
 David PerronOTT | 17 | 10:37 | 0:37 | 1:11 | 3 | 1 |
 Fabian ZetterlundOTT | 18 | 10:36 | 0:35 | 1:17 | 4 | 0 |
 Lars EllerOTT | 17 | 9:56 | 0:35 | 1:07 | 2 | 1 |
 Arber XhekajMTL | 12 | 7:40 | 0:38 | 1:06 | 1 | 0 |