Thu, Jan 22, 2026·Centre Bell, Montreal
Buffalo Sabres 4, Montréal Canadiens 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 58% of the time.
34%
9%
9%
49%
MTL winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 1 | 27:21 | 0.12 | 17.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 26:25 | 0.00 | 35.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 23:03 | 0.03 | 34.7% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 22:53 | 0.18 | 46.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 20:53 | 0.57 | 60.9% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19:46 | 0.17 | 18.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 17:14 | 0.10 | 21.5% | +5.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:00 | 0.14 | 64.4% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:57 | 0.35 | 55.3% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:26 | 0.00 | 21.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:02 | 0.00 | 71.7% | +9.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 12:04 | 0.12 | 75.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:41 | 0.20 | 0.0% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:57 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 10:47 | 0.76 | 82.5% | +9.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:38 | 0.49 | 0.0% | +5.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:36 | 0.18 | 83.2% | +9.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 6:17 | 0.00 | 78.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 34 | 32 | 2 | .941 | 3.04 | +1.0 | 60:00 |
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 4 | 24:14 | 0.18 | 39.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 23:53 | 0.20 | 85.3% | +8.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 23:26 | 0.18 | 83.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20:14 | 0.36 | 59.3% | +24.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:53 | 0.07 | 46.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:50 | 0.18 | 69.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:56 | 0.12 | 57.2% | +8.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:44 | 0.18 | 69.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:54 | 0.20 | 68.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:25 | 0.00 | 36.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 14:18 | 0.37 | 68.0% | +15.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:17 | 0.00 | 42.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:21 | 0.37 | 48.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:20 | 0.01 | 40.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:09 | 0.24 | 45.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:25 | 0.30 | 39.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:02 | 0.07 | 48.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 9:06 | 0.00 | 33.7% | 0.0 |
| L | 16 | 13 | 3 | .813 | 2.40 | −0.6 | 58:33 |