Fri, Jan 23, 2026·United Center, Chicago
Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Chicago Blackhawks 1 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 67% of the time.
26%
8%
59%
CHI winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 26:51 | 0.31 | 56.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24:51 | 0.16 | 85.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 23:48 | 0.39 | 88.8% | +29.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23:45 | 0.41 | 50.0% | +29.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:22 | 0.44 | 70.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:51 | 0.06 | 66.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:33 | 0.06 | 41.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:21 | 0.20 | 87.6% | +29.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:16 | 0.54 | 93.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:32 | 0.27 | 86.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:16 | 0.22 | 75.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:16 | 0.05 | 70.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:46 | 0.28 | 93.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:57 | 0.37 | 19.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:38 | 0.20 | 34.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:21 | 0.00 | 19.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:35 | 0.00 | 12.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1:01 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 19 | 18 | 1 | .947 | 2.87 | +1.9 | 65:00 |
Chicago Blackhawks
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 23:42 | 0.03 | 9.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:59 | 0.02 | 35.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:45 | 0.17 | 39.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:36 | 0.00 | 13.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21:26 | 0.72 | 26.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:45 | 0.04 | 18.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:37 | 0.22 | 51.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:16 | 0.24 | 13.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:12 | 0.13 | 27.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:34 | 0.03 | 23.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:04 | 0.86 | 51.1% | +21.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:20 | 0.17 | 23.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:52 | 0.02 | 64.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:32 | 0.00 | 81.0% | +21.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:10 | 0.19 | 80.7% | +21.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:09 | 0.04 | 29.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:20 | 0.00 | 23.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 5:41 | 0.00 | 75.2% | 0.0 |
| O | 31 | 30 | 1 | .968 | 3.95 | +3.0 | 65:00 |