Sat, Jan 24, 2026·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Carolina Hurricanes 4, Ottawa Senators 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 53% of the time.
43%
10%
10%
38%
OTT winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 24:20 | 0.09 | 62.7% | +24.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 23:36 | 0.00 | 57.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:37 | 0.00 | 54.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 18:42 | 0.09 | 29.7% | +16.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:35 | 0.01 | 26.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:50 | 0.22 | 53.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:49 | 0.06 | 55.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:48 | 0.30 | 60.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 17:44 | 0.01 | 37.1% | +3.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:30 | 0.37 | 15.7% | +12.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:57 | 0.39 | 60.3% | +3.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:23 | 0.22 | 66.5% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:41 | 0.00 | 49.0% | +9.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 11:55 | 0.34 | 43.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 11:31 | 0.10 | 63.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:23 | 0.15 | 51.7% | +14.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:59 | 0.06 | 22.9% | +9.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 9:40 | 0.01 | 14.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 37 | 36 | 1 | .973 | 2.59 | +1.6 | 60:00 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23:55 | 0.09 | 71.1% | +3.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20:58 | 0.58 | 70.8% | +3.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:54 | 0.01 | 43.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:23 | 0.13 | 79.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:21 | 0.17 | 33.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 19:11 | 0.09 | 37.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:58 | 0.25 | 33.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:17 | 0.23 | 75.9% | +3.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:17 | 0.06 | 82.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16:22 | 0.18 | 40.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 16:09 | 0.53 | 73.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:26 | 0.00 | 27.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:42 | 0.00 | 54.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:35 | 0.05 | 37.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:52 | 0.00 | 29.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 11:29 | 0.13 | 40.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:42 | 0.02 | 24.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:31 | 0.07 | 61.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 19 | 15 | 4 | .789 | 2.05 | −2.0 | 56:08 |