Sat, Jan 24, 2026·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Carolina Hurricanes 4, Ottawa Senators 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 53% of the time.
43%
10%
10%
38%
OTT winsCAR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Staal–Martinook–Ehlers | Aho–Svechnikov–Jarvis | Jankowski–Carrier–Kotkaniemi | Hall–Stankoven–Blake | Staal–Martinook–Svechnikov | Ehlers–Stankoven–Blake | Staal–Martinook–Carrier | Jankowski–Kotkaniemi–Svechnikov | Jankowski–Ehlers–Kotkaniemi | Slavin–Chatfield | Walker–Miller | Nikishin–Nystrom | Chatfield–Nikishin | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tkachuk–Cozens–Greig | 5:310.15–0.30 | 0:480.06–0.00 | 0:390.07–0.00 | 1:150.00–0.32 | 0:320.01–0.00 | 2:100.10–0.00 | 6:240.14–0.62 | 0:400.09–0.00 | |||||
| Giroux–Batherson–Stützle | 2:100.23–0.00 | 1:230.09–0.01 | 0:300.05–0.00 | 2:200.00–0.00 | 0:530.07–0.00 | 3:060.23–0.00 | 4:030.26–0.01 | ||||||
| Amadio–Zetterlund–Pinto | 0:350.00–0.00 | 2:210.03–0.09 | 1:230.03–0.00 | 1:240.00–0.09 | |||||||||
| Cousins–Amadio–Pinto | 1:370.03–0.10 | 1:040.03–0.10 | 1:020.06–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Eller–Cousins–Halliday | 1:230.02–0.00 | 0:590.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Eller–Zetterlund–Halliday | 0:390.00–0.07 | 0:420.00–0.10 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 1:270.00–0.17 | 0:420.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Eller–Cousins–Amadio | 0:550.00–0.01 | 0:410.00–0.03 | 0:310.00–0.01 | ||||||||||
| Amadio–Pinto–Halliday | 0:370.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Kleven–Matinpalo | 2:250.00–0.10 | 1:210.00–0.10 | 3:450.13–0.08 | 0:400.00–0.32 | 0:400.07–0.01 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 2:320.06–0.17 | 4:500.14–0.41 | 2:510.07–0.02 | 0:410.00–0.00 | |||
| Sanderson–Zub | 1:450.11–0.00 | 4:160.06–0.10 | 1:150.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 3:490.17–0.00 | 1:530.00–0.01 | 2:270.12–0.09 | |||||
| Chabot–Spence | 2:330.09–0.20 | 0:510.09–0.00 | 1:100.00–0.15 | 1:590.09–0.06 | 2:120.00–0.27 | 3:110.16–0.20 | 1:240.11–0.00 | ||||||
| Spence–Sanderson | 0:420.12–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:540.12–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Spence–Kleven | 0:440.00–0.00 | 0:340.01–0.00 | 1:030.01–0.00 | 0:380.07–0.00 | |||||||||
| Chabot–Matinpalo | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.10 | 1:390.00–0.13 | ||||||||||
| Chabot–Sanderson | 0:510.01–0.00 | 1:210.01–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Chabot–Zub | 0:310.04–0.00 | 0:570.05–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Kleven–Zub | 0:400.05–0.00 | 0:570.11–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
OTTCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Jalen ChatfieldCAR | 27 | 24:20 | 0:54 | 1:37 | 1 | 7 |
 Jake SandersonOTT | 26 | 23:55 | 0:55 | 2:15 | 6 | 1 |
 Jaccob SlavinCAR | 26 | 23:36 | 0:54 | 1:49 | 1 | 7 |
 K'Andre MillerCAR | 28 | 22:37 | 0:48 | 1:45 | 1 | 3 |
 Tim StützleOTT | 24 | 20:58 | 0:52 | 2:25 | 7 | 1 |
 Tyler KlevenOTT | 27 | 20:54 | 0:46 | 2:26 | 2 | 4 |
 Drake BathersonOTT | 21 | 19:23 | 0:55 | 2:20 | 7 | 1 |
 Dylan CozensOTT | 20 | 19:21 | 0:58 | 1:48 | 4 | 2 |
 Thomas ChabotOTT | 24 | 19:11 | 0:48 | 1:19 | 3 | 1 |
 Brady TkachukOTT | 20 | 18:58 | 0:57 | 1:45 | 4 | 2 |
 Seth JarvisCAR | 19 | 18:42 | 0:59 | 1:59 | 1 | 1 |
 Sebastian AhoCAR | 19 | 18:35 | 0:59 | 1:53 | 1 | 1 |
 Sean WalkerCAR | 24 | 17:50 | 0:45 | 1:23 | 1 | 3 |
 Jordan MartinookCAR | 22 | 17:49 | 0:49 | 1:28 | 1 | 9 |
 Jordan StaalCAR | 24 | 17:48 | 0:45 | 1:32 | 4 | 9 |
 Nikolaj EhlersCAR | 18 | 17:44 | 0:59 | 1:56 | 2 | 3 |
 Claude GirouxOTT | 27 | 17:17 | 0:38 | 1:22 | 7 | 2 |
 Artem ZubOTT | 22 | 17:17 | 0:47 | 1:59 | 1 | 1 |
 Alexander NikishinCAR | 21 | 16:30 | 0:47 | 2:08 | 3 | 3 |
 Ridly GreigOTT | 24 | 16:22 | 0:41 | 1:33 | 3 | 6 |
 Shane PintoOTT | 25 | 16:09 | 0:39 | 1:15 | 4 | 1 |
 Andrei SvechnikovCAR | 15 | 15:57 | 1:04 | 1:59 | 1 | 0 |
 Nikolas MatinpaloOTT | 21 | 15:26 | 0:44 | 2:26 | 1 | 1 |
 Jordan SpenceOTT | 22 | 13:42 | 0:37 | 0:56 | 4 | 0 |
 Michael AmadioOTT | 24 | 13:35 | 0:34 | 0:59 | 2 | 0 |
 Mark JankowskiCAR | 16 | 13:23 | 0:50 | 1:14 | 2 | 2 |
 Jackson BlakeCAR | 16 | 12:41 | 0:48 | 1:36 | 1 | 2 |
 Logan StankovenCAR | 15 | 11:55 | 0:48 | 1:11 | 2 | 2 |
 Stephen HallidayOTT | 16 | 11:52 | 0:45 | 1:19 | 3 | 2 |
 Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR | 15 | 11:31 | 0:46 | 1:09 | 2 | 1 |
 Fabian ZetterlundOTT | 17 | 11:29 | 0:41 | 1:30 | 3 | 1 |
 William CarrierCAR | 16 | 11:23 | 0:43 | 1:08 | 1 | 1 |
 Lars EllerOTT | 14 | 10:42 | 0:46 | 1:19 | 1 | 1 |
 Nick CousinsOTT | 18 | 10:31 | 0:35 | 1:06 | 1 | 0 |
 Taylor HallCAR | 13 | 9:59 | 0:46 | 1:31 | 2 | 1 |
 Joel NystromCAR | 17 | 9:40 | 0:34 | 1:09 | 1 | 1 |