Wed, Feb 25, 2026·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 76% of the time.
70%
19%
TBL winsTOR wins
Every shot
Model-basedFilter by period or danger, and pick out rebounds and rush chances.
TBL attack the right-hand net, TOR the left. Shapes show the outcome; size shows the chance quality.
Goal Saved MissedBigger marks were better chances (higher xG).
TBLTOR