Thu, Feb 26, 2026·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Calgary Flames 4, San Jose Sharks 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 64% of the time.
28%
8%
56%
SJS winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 24:45 | 0.21 | 43.7% | +1.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 24:44 | 0.00 | 67.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:53 | 0.01 | 53.6% | +27.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:03 | 0.04 | 28.8% | +22.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 19:46 | 0.06 | 60.7% | +27.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 18:57 | 1.02 | 56.9% | +23.9 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 18:54 | 0.48 | 63.9% | +42.7 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 17:34 | 0.44 | 58.4% | +38.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:51 | 0.05 | 55.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:56 | 0.19 | 53.5% | +1.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:11 | 0.64 | 37.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:54 | 0.08 | 29.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:39 | 0.00 | 66.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:33 | 0.00 | 28.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:09 | 0.00 | 92.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:37 | 0.08 | 57.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 10:33 | 0.27 | 73.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:01 | 0.02 | 67.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 35 | 34 | 1 | .971 | 2.75 | +1.7 | 60:00 |
San Jose Sharks
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:05 | 0.07 | 32.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 22:40 | 0.00 | 40.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 22:30 | 0.45 | 50.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 21:56 | 0.31 | 79.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 19:09 | 0.41 | 38.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 18:01 | 0.01 | 42.4% | +20.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:55 | 0.03 | 46.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 17:39 | 0.19 | 21.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 16:33 | 0.35 | 79.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:26 | 0.03 | 52.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:55 | 0.17 | 33.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:18 | 0.37 | 83.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:08 | 0.05 | 54.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 13:59 | 0.17 | 23.6% | +20.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 13:30 | 0.14 | 20.9% | +20.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:03 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:55 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:00 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 28 | 25 | 3 | .893 | 2.52 | −0.5 | 58:18 |