Fri, Feb 27, 2026·Amerant Bank Arena, Sunrise
Buffalo Sabres 3, Florida Panthers 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 56% of the time.
49%
36%
FLA winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 25:04 | 0.14 | 58.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23:46 | 0.10 | 55.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23:42 | 0.03 | 76.6% | +16.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 23:42 | 0.26 | 72.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:39 | 0.21 | 53.9% | +7.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 19:23 | 0.77 | 61.1% | +23.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:46 | 0.30 | 58.2% | +30.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:23 | 0.36 | 59.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:58 | 0.17 | 100.0% | +16.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:52 | 0.54 | 61.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:37 | 0.56 | 69.1% | +7.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:35 | 0.20 | 75.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14:23 | 0.21 | 61.6% | +30.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:19 | 0.08 | 29.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 10:57 | 0.10 | 55.7% | +30.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:45 | 0.19 | 54.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:54 | 0.15 | 55.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:13 | 0.09 | 64.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 28 | 2 | .966 | 4.87 | +2.9 | 60:00 |
Florida Panthers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 27:18 | 0.18 | 34.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 25:29 | 0.01 | 42.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23:51 | 0.19 | 28.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 22:24 | 0.35 | 16.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21:34 | 0.95 | 19.4% | +18.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21:19 | 1.18 | 19.2% | +23.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:36 | 0.06 | 23.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 17:21 | 0.09 | 14.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:43 | 0.04 | 39.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:24 | 0.01 | 41.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16:10 | 0.55 | 37.5% | +18.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:09 | 0.13 | 66.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:49 | 0.08 | 30.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:23 | 0.00 | 47.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:38 | 0.16 | 31.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:21 | 0.40 | 77.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:52 | 0.21 | 73.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:43 | 0.27 | 63.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 38 | 36 | 2 | .947 | 3.71 | +1.7 | 58:05 |