Mon, Mar 2, 2026·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Philadelphia Flyers 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 55% of the time.
46%
9%
10%
35%
TOR winsPHI wins
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Travis SanheimD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 29:11 | 0.17 | 53.4% | 0.0 |
 Rasmus RistolainenD · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 27:14 | 0.32 | 65.6% | 0.0 |
 Jamie DrysdaleD · #9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 24:30 | 0.22 | 34.4% | 0.0 |
 Christian DvorakC · #22 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23:34 | 0.48 | 40.1% | +19.9 |
 Cam YorkD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:01 | 0.13 | 11.3% | 0.0 |
 Owen TippettRW · #74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:51 | 0.12 | 41.6% | 0.0 |
 Trevor ZegrasC · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:43 | 0.12 | 42.1% | 0.0 |
 Bobby BrinkRW · #10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:47 | 0.17 | 60.2% | +30.5 |
 Noah CatesLW · #27 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 19:56 | 0.23 | 51.7% | +50.4 |
 Matvei MichkovRW · #39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:30 | 0.27 | 55.2% | 0.0 |
 Sean CouturierC · #14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:49 | 0.00 | 5.1% | 0.0 |
 Emil AndraeD · #36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:12 | 0.00 | 39.0% | 0.0 |
 Garnet HathawayRW · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:42 | 0.05 | 38.0% | 0.0 |
 Denver BarkeyC · #52 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 9:17 | 0.19 | 0.0% | +19.9 |
 Nikita GrebenkinRW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:44 | 0.00 | 3.1% | 0.0 |
 Carl GrundstromRW · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:31 | 0.01 | 21.4% | 0.0 |
 Nicolas DeslauriersLW · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:34 | 0.03 | 94.8% | 0.0 |
 Nick SeelerD · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 6:01 | 0.02 | 26.5% | 0.0 |
 Dan Vladar#80 | W | 31 | 29 | 2 | .935 | 2.87 | +0.9 | 65:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 8 | 26:06 | 1.22 | 41.4% | 0.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 25:39 | 0.30 | 46.2% | +35.6 |
 Jake McCabeD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24:24 | 0.01 | 53.3% | 0.0 |
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonD · #95 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 24:00 | 0.08 | 68.3% | 0.0 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 23:54 | 0.12 | 50.8% | 0.0 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:15 | 0.03 | 82.1% | +35.6 |
 Matthew KniesLW · #23 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:18 | 0.12 | 65.4% | +35.6 |
 Simon BenoitD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:51 | 0.10 | 48.3% | 0.0 |
 Bobby McMannC · #74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:42 | 0.02 | 41.4% | 0.0 |
 Brandon CarloD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:29 | 0.02 | 57.1% | 0.0 |
 Max DomiC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:36 | 0.09 | 71.5% | 0.0 |
 Nicolas RoyC · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:36 | 0.12 | 71.6% | 0.0 |
 Philippe MyersD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:26 | 0.00 | 96.8% | 0.0 |
 Scott LaughtonC · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:51 | 0.18 | 73.9% | 0.0 |
 Dakota JoshuaC · #81 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:21 | 0.09 | 71.4% | +16.6 |
 Matias MaccelliLW · #63 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 11:13 | 0.17 | 71.6% | +16.6 |
 Steven LorentzC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:05 | 0.19 | 73.9% | 0.0 |
 Easton CowanRW · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:23 | 0.00 | 99.8% | 0.0 |
 Anthony Stolarz#41 | O | 25 | 23 | 2 | .920 | 2.51 | +0.5 | 65:00 |