Mon, Mar 2, 2026·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Philadelphia Flyers 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 55% of the time.
46%
9%
10%
35%
TOR winsPHI wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against PHI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Dvorak–Tippett–Zegras | Cates–Brink–Michkov | Couturier–Grebenkin–Barkey | Deslauriers–Hathaway–Grundstrom | Tippett–Cates–Zegras | Couturier–Hathaway–Grebenkin | Couturier–Hathaway–Grundstrom | Dvorak–Brink–Michkov | Ristolainen–Sanheim | York–Drysdale | Seeler–Andrae | Ristolainen–Drysdale | Andrae–Drysdale | Ristolainen–Andrae | York–Andrae | Sanheim–York | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nylander–Matthews–McMann | 6:570.27–0.08 | 1:570.11–0.50 | 1:210.06–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.01 | 0:420.00–0.03 | 9:290.16–0.35 | 3:100.25–0.00 | 1:110.00–0.27 | |||||||
| Tavares–Domi–Knies | 1:430.03–0.00 | 2:390.04–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 1:330.01–0.04 | 0:330.02–0.00 | 2:290.06–0.01 | 4:340.06–0.03 | 1:020.02–0.01 | 0:460.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Joshua–Roy–Maccelli | 1:190.01–0.07 | 3:200.00–0.03 | 0:520.05–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.03 | 0:380.12–0.00 | 1:490.01–0.00 | 2:260.24–0.06 | 2:300.05–0.07 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Laughton–Lorentz–Cowan | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 1:250.10–0.00 | 1:210.00–0.00 | 2:030.03–0.00 | 2:090.13–0.00 | 0:470.10–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| McCabe–Benoit | 3:580.08–0.05 | 3:060.10–0.23 | 2:010.00–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.03 | 0:300.00–0.03 | 5:120.02–0.29 | 4:550.14–0.03 | 0:570.00–0.02 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Rielly–Carlo | 4:160.11–0.09 | 3:020.00–0.30 | 1:410.00–0.00 | 1:070.14–0.00 | 4:550.11–0.03 | 2:360.12–0.01 | 2:050.12–0.02 | 0:300.00–0.27 | 0:420.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Ekman-Larsson–Myers | 1:320.01–0.00 | 2:550.06–0.00 | 1:460.05–0.00 | 0:460.01–0.01 | 0:360.04–0.00 | 2:250.05–0.01 | 3:580.19–0.00 | 0:490.05–0.01 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | |||||
| Ekman-Larsson–Rielly | 0:430.00–0.05 | 0:350.01–0.00 | 0:450.06–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.03 | 1:080.00–0.01 | 1:490.06–0.01 | 1:060.01–0.05 | 1:020.00–0.03 | ||||||||
| Ekman-Larsson–McCabe | 1:320.00–0.05 | 2:180.00–0.05 | 0:400.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| McCabe–Carlo | 0:380.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TORPHIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
| 33 | 29:11 | 0:53 | 1:35 | 3 | 4 | |
| 33 | 27:14 | 0:50 | 1:32 | 2 | 6 | |
| 27 | 26:06 | 0:58 | 2:02 | 6 | 2 | |
| 26 | 25:39 | 0:59 | 1:53 | 6 | 2 | |
| 31 | 24:30 | 0:47 | 1:55 | 3 | 2 | |
| 34 | 24:24 | 0:43 | 1:39 | 4 | 3 | |
| 31 | 24:00 | 0:46 | 1:29 | 8 | 2 | |
| 32 | 23:54 | 0:45 | 1:53 | 7 | 0 | |
| 30 | 23:34 | 0:47 | 1:17 | 4 | 3 | |
| 34 | 23:01 | 0:41 | 2:03 | 2 | 4 | |
| 26 | 21:51 | 0:50 | 1:47 | 5 | 4 | |
| 25 | 21:43 | 0:52 | 2:00 | 4 | 1 | |
| 21 | 20:47 | 0:59 | 1:43 | 2 | 0 | |
| 27 | 19:56 | 0:44 | 1:32 | 1 | 2 | |
| 24 | 19:15 | 0:48 | 1:53 | 7 | 2 | |
| 23 | 18:30 | 0:48 | 1:38 | 4 | 0 | |
| 21 | 18:18 | 0:52 | 1:53 | 6 | 0 | |
| 29 | 17:51 | 0:37 | 1:28 | 1 | 2 | |
| 22 | 17:42 | 0:48 | 1:20 | 4 | 2 | |
| 25 | 17:29 | 0:42 | 1:06 | 0 | 3 | |
| 23 | 16:49 | 0:44 | 1:30 | 1 | 9 | |
| 19 | 14:36 | 0:46 | 1:14 | 4 | 0 | |
| 19 | 13:36 | 0:43 | 1:22 | 2 | 0 | |
| 20 | 12:26 | 0:37 | 1:22 | 3 | 1 | |
| 19 | 12:12 | 0:39 | 1:09 | 0 | 3 | |
| 16 | 11:51 | 0:44 | 1:07 | 2 | 4 | |
| 16 | 11:21 | 0:43 | 1:10 | 2 | 0 | |
| 15 | 11:13 | 0:45 | 1:09 | 2 | 0 | |
| 14 | 11:05 | 0:48 | 1:13 | 1 | 4 | |
| 14 | 9:42 | 0:42 | 1:18 | 0 | 3 | |
| 15 | 9:17 | 0:37 | 1:06 | 1 | 4 | |
| 13 | 8:44 | 0:40 | 1:30 | 1 | 3 | |
| 10 | 8:31 | 0:51 | 1:23 | 1 | 3 | |
| 11 | 8:23 | 0:46 | 1:15 | 1 | 2 | |
| 9 | 7:34 | 0:50 | 1:52 | 0 | 0 | |
| 9 | 6:01 | 0:40 | 1:11 | 0 | 3 |