Tue, Mar 3, 2026·Rogers Place, Edmonton
Ottawa Senators 4, Edmonton Oilers 5 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 73% of the time.
66%
19%
EDM winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 25:36 | 0.12 | 34.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 23:18 | 0.10 | 46.6% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:15 | 0.05 | 44.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:00 | 0.10 | 22.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 20:26 | 0.03 | 46.7% | +15.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:26 | 0.13 | 36.2% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 19:18 | 0.19 | 43.5% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 0 | 19:15 | 0.36 | 41.7% | +31.7 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 17:22 | 0.33 | 37.0% | +31.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:47 | 0.22 | 53.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:49 | 0.17 | 35.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:58 | 0.25 | 46.3% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:19 | 0.00 | 37.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:55 | 0.00 | 41.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:37 | 0.00 | 25.7% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:32 | 0.00 | 59.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 7:27 | 0.19 | 60.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 6:56 | 0.05 | 83.7% | 0.0 |
| O | 37 | 32 | 5 | .865 | 3.82 | −1.2 | 61:50 |
Edmonton Oilers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 4 | 28:37 | 0.17 | 49.1% | +89.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 27:37 | 0.55 | 62.7% | +66.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 25:14 | 0.10 | 64.7% | +14.9 | |
| 2 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 4 | 23:08 | 0.48 | 71.7% | +135.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 22:51 | 0.67 | 61.1% | +38.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 21:18 | 0.42 | 70.9% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:38 | 0.13 | 72.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:58 | 0.03 | 62.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:34 | 0.00 | 59.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:32 | 0.34 | 71.0% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:35 | 0.36 | 72.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:09 | 0.20 | 44.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:13 | 0.17 | 41.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 11:18 | 0.01 | 29.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:31 | 0.20 | 36.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:21 | 0.00 | 35.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:08 | 0.01 | 36.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:25 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 21 | 17 | 4 | .810 | 2.29 | −1.7 | 61:13 |