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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 3, 2026·Rogers Place, Edmonton

Ottawa Senators 4, Edmonton Oilers 5 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 73% of the time.

EDM winsOTT wins

Ottawa Senators

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Jake SandersonD · #85000−1325:360.1234.5%0.0
Thomas ChabotD · #72011+2223:180.1046.6%+14.8
Artem ZubD · #2000−1122:150.0544.5%0.0
Shane PintoC · #12000−1121:000.1022.2%0.0
Nick JensenD · #3011+2120:260.0346.7%+15.4
Michael AmadioRW · #22101+1119:260.1336.2%+15.4
Brady TkachukLW · #7011−1119:180.1943.5%+14.4
Tim StützleC · #18022−1019:150.3641.7%+31.7
Drake BathersonRW · #19202−1317:220.3337.0%+31.7
Ridly GreigC · #710000116:470.2253.0%0.0
Claude GirouxRW · #28000−1115:490.1735.0%0.0
Dylan CozensC · #24101+1314:580.2546.3%+14.8
Jordan SpenceD · #10000−1014:190.0037.9%0.0
Tyler KlevenD · #43000−1013:550.0041.2%0.0
Nick CousinsC · #21011+1013:370.0025.7%+14.8
Fabian ZetterlundLW · #200000010:320.0059.4%0.0
Lars EllerC · #89000+127:270.1960.3%0.0
Stephen HallidayC · #83000+116:560.0583.7%0.0
Linus Ullmark#35O37325.8653.82−1.261:50

Edmonton Oilers

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Evan BouchardD · #2112−1428:370.1749.1%+89.2
Connor McDavidC · #970220427:370.5562.7%+66.6
Mattias EkholmD · #14011+1225:140.1064.7%+14.9
Leon DraisaitlC · #29235+2423:080.4871.7%+135.8
Zach HymanLW · #181010522:510.6761.1%+38.3
Ryan Nugent-HopkinsC · #93101+1521:180.4270.9%+15.6
Darnell NurseD · #25000+1120:380.1372.1%0.0
Ty EmbersonD · #49000+1216:580.0362.8%0.0
Spencer StastneyD · #240000016:340.0059.7%0.0
Matt SavoieC · #22011+1216:320.3471.0%+14.9
Jack RoslovicC · #28000+1214:350.3672.1%0.0
Kasperi KapanenRW · #42000−1213:090.2044.6%0.0
Vasily PodkolzinRW · #92000−1212:130.1741.1%0.0
Jake WalmanD · #96000−2111:180.0129.0%0.0
Adam HenriqueC · #19000−1010:310.2036.7%0.0
Trent FredericC · #10000−1010:210.0035.0%0.0
Josh SamanskiC · #81000018:080.0136.4%0.0
Curtis LazarC · #20000002:250.000.0%0.0
Connor Ingram#39W21174.8102.29−1.761:13