Tue, Mar 3, 2026·Rogers Place, Edmonton
Ottawa Senators 4, Edmonton Oilers 5 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 73% of the time.
66%
19%
EDM winsOTT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
EDM forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Cousins–Amadio–Pinto | Giroux–Batherson–Stützle | Tkachuk–Cozens–Greig | Eller–Zetterlund–Halliday | Tkachuk–Pinto–Greig | Cousins–Cozens–Greig | Zetterlund–Tkachuk–Cozens | Giroux–Tkachuk–Stützle | Amadio–Batherson–Pinto | Amadio–Tkachuk–Pinto | Amadio–Pinto–Greig | Jensen–Chabot | Sanderson–Zub | Spence–Kleven | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hyman–Nugent-Hopkins–McDavid | 2:000.00–0.00 | 2:420.01–0.10 | 1:320.19–0.13 | 0:490.09–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 3:120.17–0.00 | 5:360.38–0.13 | 1:330.03–0.04 | ||||||
| Draisaitl–Roslovic–Savoie | 2:550.10–0.01 | 0:540.45–0.00 | 1:370.01–0.06 | 0:390.14–0.12 | 0:430.13–0.00 | 4:020.06–0.19 | 2:280.31–0.00 | 1:080.44–0.00 | ||||||
| Hyman–Draisaitl–McDavid | 0:500.19–0.00 | 0:590.00–0.06 | 2:520.19–0.06 | |||||||||||
| Frederic–Podkolzin–Samanski | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:420.00–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 1:420.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Henrique–Kapanen–Frederic | 1:310.20–0.00 | 0:540.07–0.08 | 1:040.20–0.13 | 1:260.07–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Kapanen–Podkolzin–Samanski | 0:300.00–0.17 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:420.11–0.00 | 1:370.11–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.17 | |||||||||
| Henrique–Lazar–Kapanen | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.11 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 1:040.00–0.22 | 0:310.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Hyman–Draisaitl–Roslovic | 1:290.00–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Nugent-Hopkins–Roslovic–Savoie | 0:480.16–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Nugent-Hopkins–Kapanen–McDavid | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Ekholm–Bouchard | 1:370.06–0.01 | 1:430.01–0.17 | 1:320.00–0.13 | 1:290.12–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.06 | 3:550.23–0.16 | 6:250.07–0.20 | 1:150.03–0.00 | ||||||
| Nurse–Emberson | 2:370.07–0.00 | 2:170.17–0.01 | 0:580.00–0.17 | 1:220.00–0.00 | 0:310.06–0.00 | 0:380.13–0.00 | 2:590.03–0.01 | 2:370.13–0.00 | 4:300.22–0.17 | |||||
| Ekholm–Stastney | 1:290.12–0.00 | 1:150.38–0.11 | 0:440.00–0.04 | 0:510.09–0.04 | 2:010.03–0.11 | 1:000.38–0.00 | ||||||||
| Walman–Bouchard | 1:280.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.02 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 3:090.05–0.24 | ||||||||||
| Walman–Stastney | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 1:390.07–0.20 | 1:050.00–0.13 | 0:490.00–0.11 | 1:260.07–0.12 | ||||||||
| Ekholm–Nurse | 0:380.01–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.05 | 0:300.14–0.00 | 1:070.00–0.00 | 1:180.33–0.05 | |||||||||
| Bouchard–Stastney | 0:470.02–0.00 | 0:370.19–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:180.00–0.00 | 1:010.21–0.00 | |||||||||
| Nurse–Bouchard | 0:380.00–0.04 | 0:590.01–0.07 | 0:590.01–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.04 | ||||||||||
| Emberson–Stastney | 1:000.20–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 1:360.20–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.09 | ||||||||||
| Nurse–Stastney | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Ekholm–Emberson | 0:480.00–0.14 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
EDMOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Evan BouchardEDM | 33 | 28:37 | 0:52 | 1:50 | 3 | 4 |
 Connor McDavidEDM | 29 | 27:37 | 0:57 | 2:02 | 4 | 0 |
 Jake SandersonOTT | 34 | 25:36 | 0:45 | 1:36 | 4 | 6 |
 Mattias EkholmEDM | 28 | 25:14 | 0:54 | 2:48 | 0 | 3 |
 Thomas ChabotOTT | 31 | 23:18 | 0:45 | 2:23 | 1 | 1 |
 Leon DraisaitlEDM | 25 | 23:08 | 0:56 | 1:52 | 6 | 1 |
 Zach HymanEDM | 25 | 22:51 | 0:55 | 1:55 | 4 | 0 |
 Artem ZubOTT | 30 | 22:15 | 0:45 | 1:23 | 1 | 5 |
 Ryan Nugent-HopkinsEDM | 27 | 21:18 | 0:47 | 1:27 | 3 | 1 |
 Shane PintoOTT | 27 | 21:00 | 0:47 | 2:15 | 1 | 4 |
 Darnell NurseEDM | 31 | 20:38 | 0:40 | 1:24 | 2 | 0 |
 Nick JensenOTT | 27 | 20:26 | 0:45 | 2:31 | 0 | 1 |
 Michael AmadioOTT | 28 | 19:26 | 0:42 | 1:33 | 0 | 3 |
 Brady TkachukOTT | 25 | 19:18 | 0:46 | 1:48 | 4 | 2 |
 Tim StützleOTT | 26 | 19:15 | 0:44 | 1:29 | 4 | 0 |
 Drake BathersonOTT | 23 | 17:22 | 0:45 | 1:24 | 3 | 0 |
 Ty EmbersonEDM | 27 | 16:58 | 0:38 | 1:17 | 1 | 2 |
 Ridly GreigOTT | 25 | 16:47 | 0:40 | 1:34 | 1 | 4 |
 Spencer StastneyEDM | 27 | 16:34 | 0:37 | 1:17 | 1 | 3 |
 Matt SavoieEDM | 23 | 16:32 | 0:43 | 1:07 | 1 | 4 |
 Claude GirouxOTT | 27 | 15:49 | 0:35 | 1:00 | 1 | 4 |
 Dylan CozensOTT | 22 | 14:58 | 0:41 | 1:13 | 4 | 1 |
 Jack RoslovicEDM | 20 | 14:35 | 0:44 | 1:11 | 3 | 0 |
 Jordan SpenceOTT | 22 | 14:19 | 0:39 | 1:14 | 0 | 0 |
 Tyler KlevenOTT | 22 | 13:55 | 0:38 | 1:16 | 0 | 0 |
 Nick CousinsOTT | 21 | 13:37 | 0:39 | 1:10 | 0 | 0 |
 Kasperi KapanenEDM | 17 | 13:09 | 0:46 | 1:24 | 0 | 3 |
 Vasily PodkolzinEDM | 18 | 12:13 | 0:41 | 1:22 | 1 | 0 |
 Jake WalmanEDM | 18 | 11:18 | 0:38 | 0:57 | 1 | 2 |
 Fabian ZetterlundOTT | 16 | 10:32 | 0:40 | 1:04 | 1 | 0 |
 Adam HenriqueEDM | 18 | 10:31 | 0:35 | 1:08 | 0 | 6 |
 Trent FredericEDM | 15 | 10:21 | 0:41 | 1:20 | 1 | 3 |
 Josh SamanskiEDM | 13 | 8:08 | 0:38 | 0:51 | 0 | 0 |
 Lars EllerOTT | 11 | 7:27 | 0:41 | 1:11 | 1 | 1 |
 Stephen HallidayOTT | 11 | 6:56 | 0:38 | 0:56 | 1 | 0 |
 Curtis LazarEDM | 3 | 2:25 | 0:48 | 0:53 | 0 | 0 |