Wed, Mar 4, 2026·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Carolina Hurricanes 6, Vancouver Canucks 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 76% of the time.
16%
70%
VAN winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 23:04 | 0.01 | 58.4% | +16.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 22:33 | 0.04 | 79.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 20:19 | 0.11 | 64.4% | +29.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:43 | 0.04 | 84.4% | +17.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19:21 | 0.19 | 50.6% | +29.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19:15 | 0.28 | 63.2% | +20.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18:07 | 0.30 | 57.3% | +17.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:53 | 0.11 | 97.9% | +17.2 | |
| 3 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 16:06 | 0.98 | 98.4% | +29.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:46 | 0.01 | 41.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 15:06 | 0.20 | 98.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14:36 | 0.33 | 73.0% | +21.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:20 | 0.51 | 60.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:13 | 0.09 | 50.0% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:48 | 0.22 | 64.1% | +21.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:09 | 0.17 | 59.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:29 | 0.00 | 63.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:18 | 0.11 | 59.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 22 | 18 | 4 | .818 | 2.11 | −1.9 | 60:00 |
Vancouver Canucks
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 26:43 | 0.07 | 40.9% | +42.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 23:11 | 0.03 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 19:29 | 0.50 | 33.8% | +7.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:51 | 0.00 | 50.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18:31 | 0.07 | 27.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:57 | 0.57 | 35.4% | +18.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:57 | 0.00 | 15.3% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16:56 | 0.15 | 38.6% | +30.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 1 | 16:14 | 0.28 | 21.8% | +22.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:10 | 0.03 | 27.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:50 | 0.01 | 37.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:45 | 0.21 | 48.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:53 | 0.00 | 36.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 13:06 | 0.00 | 3.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:31 | 0.05 | 31.5% | +18.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:30 | 0.00 | 23.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:48 | 0.00 | 31.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11:39 | 0.13 | 46.3% | +16.0 |
| – | 22 | 18 | 4 | .818 | 2.14 | −1.9 | 31:53 | |
| L | 10 | 9 | 1 | .900 | 0.76 | −0.2 | 27:17 |