Sat, Mar 7, 2026·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Philadelphia Flyers 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 69% of the time.
60%
9%
9%
23%
PIT winsPHI wins
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 30:48 | 0.00 | 34.9% | +12.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 28:26 | 0.10 | 34.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 23:26 | 0.00 | 27.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 22:18 | 0.36 | 39.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:47 | 0.28 | 51.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 19:19 | 0.00 | 41.8% | +24.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:15 | 0.30 | 38.4% | +12.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:55 | 0.00 | 32.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:46 | 0.13 | 45.1% | +24.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:25 | 0.13 | 40.1% | +12.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:07 | 0.18 | 53.0% | +22.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:41 | 0.36 | 45.1% | +24.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:44 | 0.00 | 24.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:27 | 0.03 | 67.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 10:30 | 0.00 | 47.7% | +22.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:19 | 0.07 | 30.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:51 | 0.05 | 41.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:36 | 0.01 | 74.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 23 | 20 | 3 | .870 | 3.03 | 0.0 | 65:00 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 26:12 | 0.09 | 68.0% | +22.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 24:19 | 0.23 | 79.1% | +21.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 23:55 | 0.16 | 49.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 22:06 | 0.60 | 88.6% | +44.4 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 21:02 | 0.41 | 88.3% | +44.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:51 | 0.00 | 55.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:48 | 0.04 | 56.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:38 | 0.01 | 48.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:10 | 0.32 | 57.3% | +12.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:32 | 0.02 | 66.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:22 | 0.18 | 61.9% | +12.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 15:16 | 0.28 | 27.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:04 | 0.06 | 64.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:02 | 0.00 | 63.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14:02 | 0.53 | 69.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:27 | 0.07 | 52.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 12:35 | 0.00 | 25.3% | +12.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 7:48 | 0.04 | 27.6% | 0.0 |
| O | 16 | 13 | 3 | .813 | 2.00 | −1.0 | 65:00 |