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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 7, 2026·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Philadelphia Flyers 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 3 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 69% of the time.

PIT winsPHI wins

Philadelphia Flyers

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Cam YorkD · #8011+2030:480.0034.9%+12.6
Travis SanheimD · #6000−1228:260.1034.2%0.0
Rasmus RistolainenD · #55000−1023:260.0027.7%0.0
Jamie DrysdaleD · #9000+2222:180.3639.2%0.0
Christian DvorakC · #22000+1120:470.2851.5%0.0
Noah CatesLW · #27011+1019:190.0041.8%+24.9
Trevor ZegrasC · #460110218:150.3038.4%+12.6
Sean CouturierC · #14000−1116:550.0032.5%0.0
Matvei MichkovRW · #39011+1116:460.1345.1%+24.9
Owen TippettRW · #741010116:250.1340.1%+12.6
Alex BumpLW · #20101+1216:070.1853.0%+22.2
Denver BarkeyC · #52101+1214:410.3645.1%+24.9
Luke GlendeningC · #41000−1011:440.0024.0%0.0
Noah JuulsenD · #470000111:270.0367.5%0.0
Nikita GrebenkinRW · #29011+1010:300.0047.7%+22.2
Garnet HathawayRW · #19000−1010:190.0730.9%0.0
Carl GrundstromRW · #91000019:510.0541.5%0.0
Emil AndraeD · #36000007:360.0174.6%0.0
Dan Vladar#80W23203.8703.030.065:00

Pittsburgh Penguins

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Erik KarlssonD · #65101+1126:120.0968.0%+22.7
Bryan RustRW · #17011+1224:190.2379.1%+21.7
Kris LetangD · #58000−1223:550.1649.6%0.0
Rickard RakellRW · #67112+2422:060.6088.6%+44.4
Egor ChinakhovRW · #59022+1321:020.4188.3%+44.4
Anthony ManthaRW · #390000018:510.0055.9%0.0
Parker WotherspoonD · #28000+1017:480.0456.5%0.0
Samuel GirardD · #49000−1017:380.0148.9%0.0
Tommy NovakC · #181010117:100.3257.3%+12.3
Ryan SheaD · #5000−1015:320.0266.6%0.0
Justin BrazeauRW · #160110115:220.1861.9%+12.3
Ben KindelC · #81000−3115:160.2827.4%0.0
Connor CliftonD · #75000−1115:040.0664.3%0.0
Blake LizotteC · #460000015:020.0063.0%0.0
Connor DewarC · #190000414:020.5369.3%0.0
Noel AcciariC · #550000313:270.0752.8%0.0
Ville KoivunenRW · #41011−2012:350.0025.3%+12.3
Avery HayesRW · #85000−207:480.0427.6%0.0
Stuart Skinner#74O16133.8132.00−1.065:00