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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 16, 2026·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Calgary Flames 2, Detroit Red Wings 5

Away

Calgary Flames

2

Final

Home

Detroit Red Wings

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 80% of the time.

DET winsCGY wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:29Shot by Farabee, saved by Gibson
  3. P1 1:05Shot by Brzustewicz, saved by Gibson
  4. P1 1:50Brzustewicz: High sticking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: DET van Riemsdyk, Kane, DeBrincat, Bernard-Docker, Johansson, Raymond · CGY Maatta, Frost, Coronato, Parekh, Gridin

  5. P1 2:18Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Wolf5v4
  6. P1 2:46Shot by Faulk, saved by Wolf5v4
  7. P1 2:58Shot by Perron, saved by Wolf5v4
  8. P1 4:20Shot by Coronato, saved by Gibson
  9. P1 4:40Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Wolf
  10. P1 4:42Shot by Compher, saved by Wolf
  11. P1 6:17Shot by Coleman, saved by Gibson
  12. P1 6:32Shot by Frost, saved by Gibson
  13. P1 8:43Shot by Pospisil, saved by Gibson
  14. P1 9:03Shot by Pospisil, saved by Gibson
  15. P1 9:28Shine: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: DET Shine, Seider, Raymond, Edvinsson, Finnie · CGY Maatta, Lomberg, Pospisil, Zary, Brzustewicz

  16. P1 9:28Pospisil: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: DET Shine, Seider, Raymond, Edvinsson, Finnie · CGY Maatta, Lomberg, Pospisil, Zary, Brzustewicz

  17. P1 11:07Shot by Farabee, saved by Gibson
  18. P1 12:13Shot by Coronato, saved by Gibson
  19. P1 13:52Shot by Kane, saved by Wolf
  20. P1 14:34Whitecloud: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Appleton, Dries, Bernard-Docker, Johansson, Raymond · CGY Strome, Olofsson, Whitecloud, Bahl, Sharangovich

  21. P1 15:00Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Wolf5v4
  22. P1 15:23Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Wolf5v4
  23. P1 15:51Shot by Sharangovich, saved by Gibson5v4
  24. P1 17:35Goal by Frost (Gridin, Coronato)+16 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kane, Chiarot, Faulk, Compher, DeBrincat · CGY Hanley, Frost, Whitecloud, Coronato, Gridin

  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 1:03Goal by Kane (DeBrincat)+17 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kane, Compher, DeBrincat, Seider, Edvinsson · CGY Strome, Maatta, Olofsson, Sharangovich, Brzustewicz

  28. P2 2:00Shot by Frost, saved by Gibson
  29. P2 2:42Shot by Bernard-Docker, saved by Wolf
  30. P2 2:52Appleton: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Appleton, Shine, Dries, Bernard-Docker, Johansson · CGY Hanley, Lomberg, Pospisil, Zary, Parekh

  31. P2 2:52Appleton: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Appleton, Shine, Dries, Bernard-Docker, Johansson · CGY Hanley, Lomberg, Pospisil, Zary, Parekh

  32. P2 2:52Zary: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Appleton, Shine, Dries, Bernard-Docker, Johansson · CGY Hanley, Lomberg, Pospisil, Zary, Parekh

  33. P2 3:16Shot by Gridin, saved by Gibson4v5
  34. P2 4:14Shot by Olofsson, saved by Gibson4v5
  35. P2 4:35Shot by Compher, saved by Wolf4v5
  36. P2 5:06Goal by Finnie (Johansson, Raymond)+21 pts WP

    On ice: DET Perron, Faulk, Johansson, Raymond, Finnie · CGY Strome, Olofsson, Whitecloud, Bahl, Sharangovich

  37. P2 5:26Shot by Perron, saved by Wolf
  38. P2 5:35Shot by Maatta, saved by Gibson
  39. P2 6:02Shot by Lomberg, saved by Gibson
  40. P2 6:11Shot by Coleman, saved by Gibson
  41. P2 6:23Shot by Farabee, saved by Gibson
  42. P2 6:37Goal by Kane (DeBrincat, Compher)+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kane, Compher, DeBrincat, Seider, Edvinsson · CGY Backlund, Coleman, Whitecloud, Farabee, Bahl

  43. P2 7:07Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Wolf
  44. P2 7:23Goal by Coronato, unassisted+13 pts WP

    On ice: DET Shine, Leonard, Seider, Edvinsson, Kasper · CGY Hanley, Frost, Coronato, Parekh, Gridin

  45. P2 10:41Gridin: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Perron, Bernard-Docker, Johansson, Raymond, Finnie · CGY Frost, Bahl, Zary, Parekh, Gridin

  46. P2 11:06Shot by Backlund, saved by Gibson5v4
  47. P2 11:45Goal by Seider (DeBrincat, Compher)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: DET van Riemsdyk, Kane, Compher, DeBrincat, Seider · CGY Backlund, Coleman, Maatta, Hanley

  48. P2 12:31Shot by Coronato, saved by Gibson
  49. P2 13:43Shot by Lomberg, saved by Gibson
  50. P2 14:57Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Wolf
  51. P2 18:28Chiarot: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Faulk, Compher, Appleton, Shine · CGY Lomberg, Whitecloud, Bahl, Pospisil, Zary

  52. P2 18:44Shot by Gridin, saved by Gibson4v5
  53. P2 18:49Shot by Seider, saved by Wolf4v5
  54. P2 19:58Zary: Cross checking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DET Dries, Bernard-Docker, Johansson, Finnie · CGY Backlund, Strome, Olofsson, Zary, Brzustewicz

  55. P2 0:00Period end4v4
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 0:56Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Wolf5v4
  58. P3 2:28Shot by Maatta, saved by Gibson
  59. P3 4:03Shot by Farabee, saved by Gibson
  60. P3 4:31Shot by Backlund, saved by Gibson
  61. P3 6:32Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Wolf
  62. P3 7:08Seider: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kane, Compher, DeBrincat, Seider, Edvinsson · CGY Backlund, Coleman, Whitecloud, Farabee, Bahl

  63. P3 7:08Coleman: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kane, Compher, DeBrincat, Seider, Edvinsson · CGY Backlund, Coleman, Whitecloud, Farabee, Bahl

  64. P3 7:25Shot by Finnie, saved by Wolf4v4
  65. P3 8:08Shot by Kasper, saved by Wolf4v4
  66. P3 12:46Shot by Raymond, saved by Wolf
  67. P3 16:35Shot by Faulk, saved by Wolf
  68. P3 17:52Shot by Gridin, saved by Gibson5v6
  69. P3 18:55Goal by Shine, unassisted5v60 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Faulk, Appleton, Shine, Kasper · CGY Strome, Maatta, Frost, Coronato, Brzustewicz, Gridin

  70. P3 0:00Period end
  71. P3 0:00Final