Mon, Mar 16, 2026·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Calgary Flames 2, Detroit Red Wings 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 80% of the time.
73%
14%
DET winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Olli MaattaD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 23:22 | 0.05 | 30.8% | 0.0 |
 Kevin BahlD · #7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 21:07 | 0.00 | 54.6% | 0.0 |
 Zach WhitecloudD · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:37 | 0.00 | 51.6% | 0.0 |
 Blake ColemanLW · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:54 | 0.10 | 50.8% | 0.0 |
 Matt CoronatoRW · #27 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 18:33 | 0.32 | 64.1% | +29.7 |
 Hunter BrzustewiczD · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:33 | 0.02 | 29.6% | 0.0 |
 Morgan FrostC · #16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:50 | 0.38 | 49.1% | +16.2 |
 Mikael BacklundC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:45 | 0.34 | 51.5% | 0.0 |
 Zayne ParekhD · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:25 | 0.11 | 59.7% | 0.0 |
 Joel HanleyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 17:01 | 0.00 | 63.6% | 0.0 |
 Matvei GridinRW · #92 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:29 | 0.03 | 57.5% | +16.2 |
 Ryan StromeC · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 16:21 | 0.04 | 22.8% | 0.0 |
 Yegor SharangovichC · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:53 | 0.26 | 5.8% | 0.0 |
 Joel FarabeeLW · #86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 13:44 | 0.24 | 53.1% | 0.0 |
 Victor OlofssonLW · #95 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:03 | 0.03 | 9.9% | 0.0 |
 Connor ZaryC · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:00 | 0.00 | 59.7% | 0.0 |
 Ryan LombergLW · #70 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:45 | 0.11 | 54.6% | 0.0 |
 Martin PospisilC · #76 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:39 | 0.05 | 23.1% | 0.0 |
 Dustin Wolf#32 | L | 24 | 20 | 4 | .833 | 3.09 | −0.9 | 57:55 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Justin FaulkD · #72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 22:04 | 0.06 | 53.3% | 0.0 |
 J.T. CompherLW · #37 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 21:15 | 0.36 | 59.0% | +26.2 |
 Lucas RaymondLW · #23 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:35 | 0.09 | 66.5% | +21.2 |
 Moritz SeiderD · #53 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:35 | 0.09 | 62.9% | +12.6 |
 Ben ChiarotD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:06 | 0.00 | 47.6% | 0.0 |
 Alex DeBrincatRW · #93 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 6 | 20:03 | 0.70 | 58.9% | +42.9 |
 Simon EdvinssonD · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:35 | 0.00 | 65.1% | 0.0 |
 Patrick KaneRW · #88 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 19:24 | 0.67 | 57.8% | +30.3 |
 Emmitt FinnieC · #58 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:35 | 0.48 | 62.8% | +21.2 |
 Albert JohanssonD · #20 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:30 | 0.00 | 49.5% | +21.2 |
 David PerronLW · #57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:35 | 0.13 | 66.5% | 0.0 |
 Jacob Bernard-DockerD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:31 | 0.00 | 24.8% | 0.0 |
 Marco KasperC · #92 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:46 | 0.17 | 34.0% | 0.0 |
 James van RiemsdykLW · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:08 | 0.12 | 39.1% | 0.0 |
 Mason AppletonC · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:32 | 0.00 | 11.4% | 0.0 |
 Dominik ShineRW · #65 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9:24 | 0.81 | 1.8% | +0.3 |
 John LeonardLW · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:10 | 0.21 | 38.0% | 0.0 |
 Sheldon DriesC · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:23 | 0.00 | 4.0% | 0.0 |
 John Gibson#36 | W | 27 | 25 | 2 | .926 | 2.09 | +0.1 | 59:49 |