Mon, Mar 16, 2026·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Calgary Flames 2, Detroit Red Wings 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 80% of the time.
73%
14%
DET winsCGY wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CGY's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Frost–Coronato–Gridin | Backlund–Coleman–Farabee | Strome–Olofsson–Sharangovich | Lomberg–Pospisil–Zary | Whitecloud–Bahl | Maatta–Brzustewicz | Hanley–Parekh | Maatta–Hanley | Bahl–Parekh | Maatta–Parekh | Whitecloud–Brzustewicz | Hanley–Brzustewicz | Whitecloud–Parekh | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kane–Compher–DeBrincat | 2:180.19–0.27 | 5:570.57–0.36 | 2:160.17–0.02 | 0:580.12–0.00 | 4:200.21–0.51 | 3:460.39–0.15 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 1:040.13–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.06 | 0:420.25–0.00 | |||
| Perron–Raymond–Finnie | 1:270.00–0.00 | 1:040.00–0.12 | 3:470.17–0.00 | 1:490.00–0.00 | 3:370.17–0.12 | 2:260.00–0.06 | 1:120.00–0.00 | 0:590.09–0.00 | 0:560.04–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | |||
| van Riemsdyk–Leonard–Kasper | 3:450.17–0.01 | 1:110.00–0.04 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 1:160.00–0.01 | 2:420.17–0.00 | 2:280.00–0.20 | 0:480.00–0.00 | |||||
| Appleton–Shine–Dries | 0:400.00–0.04 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 2:100.00–0.05 | 1:340.00–0.10 | 1:550.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Appleton–Shine–Kasper | 1:080.00–0.07 | 1:040.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Chiarot–Faulk | 4:300.17–0.09 | 5:050.23–0.33 | 1:350.00–0.00 | 1:330.00–0.00 | 6:310.17–0.41 | 2:230.00–0.10 | 2:370.00–0.02 | 1:450.22–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 0:300.10–0.00 | ||
| Bernard-Docker–Johansson | 1:030.00–0.07 | 2:110.10–0.10 | 3:080.00–0.00 | 4:170.00–0.08 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 3:500.00–0.05 | 4:250.00–0.27 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 1:540.04–0.02 | 0:390.00–0.06 | |||
| Seider–Edvinsson | 4:180.17–0.28 | 1:550.24–0.09 | 3:480.22–0.02 | 1:060.12–0.00 | 4:220.06–0.22 | 5:000.57–0.15 | 0:350.00–0.06 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
DETCGYFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
| 27 | 23:22 | 0:52 | 1:44 | 1 | 5 | |
| 26 | 22:04 | 0:51 | 1:30 | 0 | 3 | |
| 25 | 21:15 | 0:51 | 1:19 | 6 | 1 | |
| 26 | 21:07 | 0:49 | 1:42 | 1 | 6 | |
| 27 | 20:35 | 0:46 | 1:21 | 2 | 2 | |
| 24 | 20:35 | 0:51 | 1:32 | 5 | 4 | |
| 24 | 20:06 | 0:50 | 1:26 | 0 | 3 | |
| 23 | 20:03 | 0:52 | 1:29 | 5 | 0 | |
| 28 | 19:37 | 0:42 | 1:23 | 1 | 7 | |
| 23 | 19:35 | 0:51 | 1:15 | 2 | 4 | |
| 23 | 19:24 | 0:51 | 1:15 | 6 | 0 | |
| 24 | 18:54 | 0:47 | 1:16 | 3 | 6 | |
| 21 | 18:33 | 0:53 | 1:47 | 5 | 0 | |
| 24 | 18:33 | 0:46 | 1:24 | 1 | 2 | |
| 23 | 17:50 | 0:47 | 1:29 | 6 | 0 | |
| 23 | 17:45 | 0:46 | 1:12 | 1 | 7 | |
| 23 | 17:35 | 0:46 | 1:12 | 1 | 2 | |
| 20 | 17:25 | 0:52 | 2:04 | 2 | 0 | |
| 21 | 17:01 | 0:49 | 1:33 | 3 | 0 | |
| 21 | 16:30 | 0:47 | 1:31 | 0 | 0 | |
| 20 | 16:29 | 0:49 | 1:24 | 6 | 0 | |
| 20 | 16:21 | 0:49 | 1:20 | 1 | 2 | |
| 20 | 15:35 | 0:47 | 1:20 | 1 | 1 | |
| 20 | 15:31 | 0:47 | 1:29 | 0 | 0 | |
| 21 | 14:46 | 0:42 | 1:16 | 2 | 5 | |
| 20 | 13:53 | 0:42 | 1:01 | 1 | 3 | |
| 19 | 13:44 | 0:43 | 1:17 | 1 | 3 | |
| 16 | 13:08 | 0:49 | 1:25 | 3 | 2 | |
| 18 | 13:03 | 0:44 | 1:02 | 1 | 2 | |
| 16 | 10:32 | 0:40 | 1:12 | 2 | 0 | |
| 16 | 10:00 | 0:38 | 1:18 | 3 | 1 | |
| 14 | 9:45 | 0:42 | 1:12 | 3 | 1 | |
| 13 | 9:39 | 0:45 | 1:14 | 2 | 1 | |
| 14 | 9:24 | 0:40 | 1:19 | 2 | 0 | |
| 13 | 9:10 | 0:42 | 1:19 | 1 | 3 | |
| 14 | 8:23 | 0:36 | 1:09 | 2 | 1 |