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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 16, 2026·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Calgary Flames 2, Detroit Red Wings 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 80% of the time.

DET winsCGY wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CGY's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Frost–Coronato–GridinBacklund–Coleman–FarabeeStrome–Olofsson–SharangovichLomberg–Pospisil–ZaryWhitecloud–BahlMaatta–BrzustewiczHanley–ParekhMaatta–HanleyBahl–ParekhMaatta–ParekhWhitecloud–BrzustewiczHanley–BrzustewiczWhitecloud–Parekh
Kane–Compher–DeBrincat2:180.19–0.275:570.57–0.362:160.17–0.020:580.12–0.004:200.21–0.513:460.39–0.150:480.00–0.001:040.13–0.000:330.00–0.060:420.25–0.00
Perron–Raymond–Finnie1:270.00–0.001:040.00–0.123:470.17–0.001:490.00–0.003:370.17–0.122:260.00–0.061:120.00–0.000:590.09–0.000:560.04–0.000:410.00–0.00
van Riemsdyk–Leonard–Kasper3:450.17–0.011:110.00–0.040:500.00–0.000:430.00–0.001:160.00–0.012:420.17–0.002:280.00–0.200:480.00–0.00
Appleton–Shine–Dries0:400.00–0.040:500.00–0.000:450.00–0.002:100.00–0.051:340.00–0.101:550.00–0.000:410.00–0.00
Appleton–Shine–Kasper1:080.00–0.071:040.00–0.00
Chiarot–Faulk4:300.17–0.095:050.23–0.331:350.00–0.001:330.00–0.006:310.17–0.412:230.00–0.102:370.00–0.021:450.22–0.000:300.00–0.000:460.00–0.000:300.10–0.00
Bernard-Docker–Johansson1:030.00–0.072:110.10–0.103:080.00–0.004:170.00–0.080:470.00–0.003:500.00–0.054:250.00–0.270:520.00–0.001:540.04–0.020:390.00–0.06
Seider–Edvinsson4:180.17–0.281:550.24–0.093:480.22–0.021:060.12–0.004:220.06–0.225:000.57–0.150:350.00–0.060:400.00–0.000:410.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndRaymond FPerron FFinnie FDeBrincat FCompher FKane Fvan Riemsdyk FLeonard FKasper FAppleton FDries FShine FChiarot DFaulk DEdvinsson DSeider DJohansson DBernard-Docker DGibson GBacklund FColeman FFarabee FOlofsson FSharangovich FStrome FFrost FCoronato FGridin FZary FLomberg FPospisil FBahl DWhitecloud DBrzustewicz DMaatta DParekh DHanley DWolf G
DETCGYFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Olli MaattaCGY2723:220:521:4415
Justin FaulkDET2622:040:511:3003
J.T. CompherDET2521:150:511:1961
Kevin BahlCGY2621:070:491:4216
Lucas RaymondDET2720:350:461:2122
Moritz SeiderDET2420:350:511:3254
Ben ChiarotDET2420:060:501:2603
Alex DeBrincatDET2320:030:521:2950
Zach WhitecloudCGY2819:370:421:2317
Simon EdvinssonDET2319:350:511:1524
Patrick KaneDET2319:240:511:1560
Blake ColemanCGY2418:540:471:1636
Matt CoronatoCGY2118:330:531:4750
Hunter BrzustewiczCGY2418:330:461:2412
Morgan FrostCGY2317:500:471:2960
Mikael BacklundCGY2317:450:461:1217
Emmitt FinnieDET2317:350:461:1212
Zayne ParekhCGY2017:250:522:0420
Joel HanleyCGY2117:010:491:3330
Albert JohanssonDET2116:300:471:3100
Matvei GridinCGY2016:290:491:2460
Ryan StromeCGY2016:210:491:2012
David PerronDET2015:350:471:2011
Jacob Bernard-DockerDET2015:310:471:2900
Marco KasperDET2114:460:421:1625
Yegor SharangovichCGY2013:530:421:0113
Joel FarabeeCGY1913:440:431:1713
James van RiemsdykDET1613:080:491:2532
Victor OlofssonCGY1813:030:441:0212
Mason AppletonDET1610:320:401:1220
Connor ZaryCGY1610:000:381:1831
Ryan LombergCGY149:450:421:1231
Martin PospisilCGY139:390:451:1421
Dominik ShineDET149:240:401:1920
John LeonardDET139:100:421:1913
Sheldon DriesDET148:230:361:0921