Tue, Mar 17, 2026·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
New York Islanders 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 66% of the time.
26%
58%
TOR winsNYI wins
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Matthew SchaeferD · #48 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22:57 | 0.13 | 57.8% | +13.2 |
 Ryan PulockD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:25 | 0.00 | 29.6% | 0.0 |
 Tony DeAngeloD · #77 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:22 | 0.17 | 61.0% | +16.3 |
 Mathew BarzalC · #13 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 1 | 18:31 | 0.16 | 71.3% | +43.2 |
 Simon HolmstromRW · #92 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:21 | 0.31 | 69.6% | 0.0 |
 Bo HorvatC · #14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 17:54 | 0.64 | 75.5% | 0.0 |
 Adam PelechD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:35 | 0.02 | 36.0% | 0.0 |
 Anders LeeLW · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:54 | 0.40 | 40.6% | 0.0 |
 Scott MayfieldD · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:19 | 0.03 | 58.3% | 0.0 |
 Carson SoucyD · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:13 | 0.06 | 64.3% | 0.0 |
 Brayden SchennC · #10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:57 | 0.32 | 60.5% | +13.8 |
 Jean-Gabriel PageauC · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:57 | 0.24 | 31.8% | 0.0 |
 Emil HeinemanLW · #51 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 15:32 | 0.76 | 68.1% | +16.3 |
 Calum RitchieC · #64 | 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 4 | 15:06 | 0.43 | 33.7% | +26.9 |
 Anthony DuclairLW · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:36 | 0.00 | 59.2% | 0.0 |
 Casey CizikasC · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:19 | 0.01 | 36.5% | 0.0 |
 Kyle MacLeanC · #32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:01 | 0.09 | 35.4% | 0.0 |
 Ondrej PalatLW · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:01 | 0.13 | 28.3% | 0.0 |
 Ilya Sorokin#30 | W | 27 | 26 | 1 | .963 | 2.89 | +1.9 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonD · #95 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25:53 | 0.07 | 43.6% | 0.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 22:35 | 0.15 | 32.9% | 0.0 |
 Jake McCabeD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:28 | 0.06 | 51.2% | 0.0 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 20:16 | 0.82 | 30.5% | 0.0 |
 Brandon CarloD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19:05 | 0.07 | 50.5% | 0.0 |
 Matthew KniesLW · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:01 | 0.48 | 69.1% | 0.0 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:21 | 0.00 | 47.3% | 0.0 |
 Matias MaccelliLW · #63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:19 | 0.27 | 34.4% | 0.0 |
 Troy StecherD · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:19 | 0.00 | 24.6% | 0.0 |
 Max DomiC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:10 | 0.39 | 68.6% | 0.0 |
 Philippe MyersD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:45 | 0.06 | 63.1% | 0.0 |
 Easton CowanRW · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:30 | 0.13 | 46.8% | 0.0 |
 Bo GroulxC · #29 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:13 | 0.00 | 55.8% | +16.0 |
 Steven LorentzC · #18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 12:03 | 0.19 | 56.3% | +16.0 |
 Nick RobertsonLW · #89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:49 | 0.00 | 41.1% | 0.0 |
 Dakota JoshuaC · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:26 | 0.00 | 62.0% | 0.0 |
 Jacob QuillanC · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:48 | 0.21 | 60.9% | 0.0 |
 Calle JarnkrokC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:32 | 0.00 | 74.7% | 0.0 |
 Joseph Woll#60 | L | 34 | 31 | 3 | .912 | 3.90 | +0.9 | 58:33 |