Tue, Mar 17, 2026·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
New York Islanders 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 66% of the time.
26%
58%
TOR winsNYI wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NYI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Horvat–Barzal–Heineman | Lee–Pageau–Ritchie | Schenn–Duclair–Holmstrom | Cizikas–Palat–MacLean | Pulock–Schaefer | Pelech–DeAngelo | Mayfield–Soucy | DeAngelo–Schaefer | Mayfield–DeAngelo | Mayfield–Pulock | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavares–Nylander–Maccelli | 5:250.23–0.92 | 2:320.28–0.12 | 1:590.00–0.07 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 4:110.31–0.14 | 4:390.22–0.05 | 1:230.02–0.11 | |||
| Domi–Knies–Cowan | 0:510.00–0.09 | 4:100.13–0.15 | 1:330.18–0.03 | 3:090.18–0.16 | 1:210.13–0.00 | 2:200.00–0.08 | ||||
| Joshua–Groulx–Robertson | 3:260.00–0.03 | 1:000.00–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 1:500.00–0.00 | 1:280.00–0.00 | 2:390.00–0.03 | ||||
| Jarnkrok–Lorentz–Quillan | 1:080.01–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.14 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 2:030.19–0.04 | 0:530.01–0.00 | 1:150.19–0.00 | 3:000.00–0.18 | |||
| Domi–Nylander–Knies | 0:440.01–0.00 | 0:540.02–0.01 | 1:090.02–0.00 | |||||||
| Groulx–Robertson–Cowan | 0:430.00–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.02 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.02 | 0:300.00–0.00 | |||||
| Domi–Joshua–Cowan | 0:340.00–0.04 | |||||||||
| Jarnkrok–Lorentz–Groulx | 0:340.02–0.00 | |||||||||
| McCabe–Carlo | 6:090.26–0.49 | 1:410.27–0.07 | 1:530.13–0.00 | 0:570.01–0.00 | 2:200.18–0.00 | 5:580.34–0.00 | 2:590.15–0.02 | |||
| Ekman-Larsson–Stecher | 1:290.05–0.09 | 4:130.00–0.21 | 1:500.00–0.07 | 2:050.02–0.05 | 4:390.01–0.23 | 1:570.02–0.01 | 3:000.05–0.16 | 0:430.00–0.01 | ||
| Rielly–Myers | 4:020.00–0.14 | 2:550.20–0.04 | 2:250.20–0.06 | 2:530.00–0.06 | 2:250.00–0.09 | |||||
| Ekman-Larsson–Myers | 0:570.00–0.03 | 1:300.18–0.04 | 0:580.01–0.01 | 1:160.02–0.04 | ||||||
| Ekman-Larsson–Rielly | 2:090.38–0.00 | 1:540.31–0.00 | ||||||||
| McCabe–Stecher | 0:340.00–0.05 | |||||||||
| Rielly–McCabe |
Every shift, one row per player.
TORNYIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR | 30 | 25:53 | 0:52 | 2:03 | 6 | 3 |
 Matthew SchaeferNYI | 27 | 22:57 | 0:51 | 1:51 | 6 | 5 |
 William NylanderTOR | 21 | 22:35 | 1:05 | 2:13 | 5 | 4 |
 Jake McCabeTOR | 27 | 22:28 | 0:50 | 2:58 | 2 | 7 |
 Ryan PulockNYI | 26 | 20:25 | 0:47 | 1:26 | 2 | 6 |
 Tony DeAngeloNYI | 25 | 20:22 | 0:49 | 2:09 | 3 | 3 |
 John TavaresTOR | 21 | 20:16 | 0:58 | 1:55 | 6 | 4 |
 Brandon CarloTOR | 27 | 19:05 | 0:42 | 2:57 | 1 | 8 |
 Matthew KniesTOR | 19 | 19:01 | 1:00 | 2:12 | 1 | 2 |
 Mathew BarzalNYI | 19 | 18:31 | 0:58 | 1:39 | 6 | 0 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 22 | 18:21 | 0:50 | 2:22 | 5 | 2 |
 Simon HolmstromNYI | 21 | 18:21 | 0:52 | 2:07 | 1 | 4 |
 Matias MaccelliTOR | 18 | 18:19 | 1:01 | 1:52 | 4 | 3 |
 Bo HorvatNYI | 21 | 17:54 | 0:51 | 1:16 | 7 | 3 |
 Adam PelechNYI | 24 | 17:35 | 0:44 | 1:38 | 2 | 3 |
 Anders LeeNYI | 20 | 16:54 | 0:51 | 2:10 | 2 | 4 |
 Scott MayfieldNYI | 20 | 16:19 | 0:49 | 1:39 | 1 | 0 |
 Carson SoucyNYI | 22 | 16:13 | 0:44 | 1:38 | 2 | 0 |
 Brayden SchennNYI | 18 | 15:57 | 0:53 | 1:43 | 5 | 0 |
 Jean-Gabriel PageauNYI | 23 | 15:57 | 0:42 | 1:24 | 2 | 6 |
 Emil HeinemanNYI | 18 | 15:32 | 0:52 | 2:12 | 3 | 4 |
 Troy StecherTOR | 25 | 15:19 | 0:37 | 1:14 | 3 | 4 |
 Max DomiTOR | 18 | 15:10 | 0:51 | 1:33 | 2 | 0 |
 Calum RitchieNYI | 19 | 15:06 | 0:48 | 1:16 | 3 | 3 |
 Philippe MyersTOR | 21 | 13:45 | 0:39 | 1:27 | 1 | 3 |
 Anthony DuclairNYI | 16 | 13:36 | 0:51 | 2:10 | 2 | 1 |
 Easton CowanTOR | 16 | 13:30 | 0:51 | 1:36 | 2 | 1 |
 Casey CizikasNYI | 15 | 12:19 | 0:49 | 1:12 | 1 | 1 |
 Bo GroulxTOR | 18 | 12:13 | 0:41 | 1:25 | 2 | 4 |
 Steven LorentzTOR | 15 | 12:03 | 0:48 | 2:10 | 2 | 2 |
 Nick RobertsonTOR | 17 | 11:49 | 0:42 | 1:22 | 2 | 1 |
 Dakota JoshuaTOR | 18 | 11:26 | 0:38 | 1:10 | 3 | 2 |
 Jacob QuillanTOR | 13 | 10:48 | 0:50 | 2:08 | 2 | 0 |
 Calle JarnkrokTOR | 15 | 10:32 | 0:42 | 1:06 | 3 | 3 |
 Kyle MacLeanNYI | 13 | 10:01 | 0:46 | 1:10 | 2 | 1 |
 Ondrej PalatNYI | 14 | 10:01 | 0:43 | 1:10 | 2 | 1 |