Thu, Mar 19, 2026·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
New York Islanders 2, Ottawa Senators 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 78% of the time.
71%
15%
OTT winsNYI wins
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 24:11 | 0.04 | 16.6% | +17.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 22:39 | 0.25 | 36.2% | +17.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 22:30 | 0.03 | 39.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:48 | 0.07 | 41.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:18 | 0.06 | 50.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:48 | 0.16 | 35.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 18:17 | 0.12 | 26.3% | +21.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 17:57 | 0.00 | 18.6% | +17.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:01 | 0.07 | 28.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:53 | 0.08 | 27.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:03 | 0.00 | 20.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:59 | 0.03 | 36.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 13:33 | 0.02 | 43.1% | +21.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:46 | 0.37 | 64.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11:59 | 0.47 | 30.1% | +21.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:51 | 0.02 | 31.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:47 | 0.08 | 44.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:46 | 0.04 | 53.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 27 | 24 | 3 | .889 | 3.13 | +0.1 | 59:54 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 30:53 | 0.50 | 61.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:07 | 0.00 | 44.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 21:06 | 0.05 | 61.2% | +18.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:54 | 0.04 | 88.5% | +52.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:13 | 0.09 | 53.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:54 | 0.28 | 71.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:27 | 0.20 | 69.6% | +18.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 6 | 17:14 | 0.63 | 76.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 16:48 | 0.86 | 81.6% | +52.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:06 | 0.06 | 81.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:44 | 0.00 | 43.3% | +18.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:37 | 0.07 | 50.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12:23 | 0.39 | 68.7% | +52.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:29 | 0.00 | 34.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:40 | 0.04 | 6.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9:26 | 0.13 | 50.1% | +22.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 9:04 | 0.00 | 66.1% | +22.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:55 | 0.24 | 61.4% | +22.7 |
| W | 19 | 17 | 2 | .895 | 1.90 | −0.1 | 60:00 |