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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 19, 2026·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

New York Islanders 2, Ottawa Senators 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 78% of the time.

OTT winsNYI wins

New York Islanders

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Matthew SchaeferD · #48101+2324:110.0416.6%+17.3
Bo HorvatC · #14011+1122:390.2536.2%+17.3
Tony DeAngeloD · #77000−2222:300.0339.9%0.0
Mathew BarzalC · #13000+1021:480.0741.7%0.0
Adam PelechD · #3000−1021:180.0650.2%0.0
Emil HeinemanLW · #510000219:480.1635.9%0.0
Simon HolmstromRW · #92011−2218:170.1226.3%+21.5
Ryan PulockD · #6011+2017:570.0018.6%+17.3
Anders LeeLW · #27000−2116:010.0728.8%0.0
Jean-Gabriel PageauC · #44000−1015:530.0827.1%0.0
Calum RitchieC · #640000014:030.0020.6%0.0
Carson SoucyD · #4000−1013:590.0336.7%0.0
Scott MayfieldD · #24011−1113:330.0243.1%+21.5
Casey CizikasC · #530000112:460.3764.8%0.0
Brayden SchennC · #101010311:590.4730.1%+21.5
Anthony DuclairLW · #11000029:510.0231.8%0.0
Kyle MacLeanC · #32000019:470.0844.0%0.0
Ondrej PalatLW · #81000−109:460.0453.9%0.0
Ilya Sorokin#30L27243.8893.13+0.159:54

Ottawa Senators

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Thomas ChabotD · #72000+1130:530.5061.8%0.0
Artem ZubD · #20000122:070.0044.9%0.0
Tyler KlevenD · #43011−1221:060.0561.2%+18.9
Jordan SpenceD · #100110020:540.0488.5%+52.3
Michael AmadioRW · #220000120:130.0953.1%0.0
Tim StützleC · #180000019:540.2871.4%0.0
Shane PintoC · #12101+1119:270.2069.6%+18.9
Dylan CozensC · #24000+1617:140.6376.5%0.0
Brady TkachukLW · #7101+1716:480.8681.6%+52.3
Ridly GreigC · #710000016:060.0681.0%0.0
Nikolas MatinpaloD · #33011+1012:440.0043.3%+18.9
Nick CousinsC · #210000012:370.0750.4%0.0
Drake BathersonRW · #190110212:230.3968.7%+52.3
Claude GirouxRW · #280000011:290.0034.1%0.0
Lars EllerC · #89000−1210:400.046.1%0.0
Warren FoegeleLW · #37101019:260.1350.1%+22.7
Dennis GilbertD · #6011+109:040.0066.1%+22.7
Fabian ZetterlundLW · #20011038:550.2461.4%+22.7
James Reimer#47W19172.8951.90−0.160:00