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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 19, 2026·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

New York Islanders 2, Ottawa Senators 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 78% of the time.

OTT winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:01Tkachuk: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: OTT Tkachuk, Cozens, Spence, Greig, Kleven · NYI Lee, Pageau, Pulock, Ritchie, Schaefer

  3. P1 0:01Lee: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: OTT Tkachuk, Cozens, Spence, Greig, Kleven · NYI Lee, Pageau, Pulock, Ritchie, Schaefer

  4. P1 1:35Shot by Duclair, saved by Reimer
  5. P1 2:48Shot by Eller, saved by Sorokin
  6. P1 5:47Shot by Kleven, saved by Sorokin
  7. P1 5:54Schenn: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: OTT Tkachuk, Cozens, Spence, Greig, Kleven · NYI Schenn, Duclair, Pulock, Holmstrom, Schaefer

  8. P1 5:54Greig: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: OTT Tkachuk, Cozens, Spence, Greig, Kleven · NYI Schenn, Duclair, Pulock, Holmstrom, Schaefer

  9. P1 6:32Cozens: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Cousins, Cozens, Kleven, Stützle, Matinpalo · NYI Cizikas, Duclair, DeAngelo, Holmstrom, Schaefer

  10. P1 6:35Shot by Chabot, saved by Sorokin4v5
  11. P1 8:33Shot by Cizikas, saved by Reimer
  12. P1 9:10Shot by Mayfield, saved by Reimer
  13. P1 9:18Shot by Schaefer, saved by Reimer
  14. P1 10:23Shot by Duclair, saved by Reimer
  15. P1 10:47Shot by Kleven, saved by Sorokin
  16. P1 10:48Shot by Cozens, saved by Sorokin
  17. P1 11:31Shot by Cozens, saved by Sorokin
  18. P1 11:43Shot by Heineman, saved by Reimer
  19. P1 14:39Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Reimer
  20. P1 16:55Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Sorokin
  21. P1 18:11Soucy: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Batherson, Spence, Kleven, Stützle · NYI Lee, Pageau, Soucy, DeAngelo, Ritchie

  22. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:45Shot by Cozens, saved by Sorokin
  25. P2 1:38Shot by Heineman, saved by Reimer
  26. P2 1:55Cousins: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Cousins, Amadio, Chabot, Pinto, Zub · NYI Mayfield, Pelech, Horvat, Barzal, Heineman

  27. P2 3:02Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Reimer4v5
  28. P2 4:45Goal by Schaefer (Pulock, Horvat)+17 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Eller, Foegele, Zetterlund, Kleven, Matinpalo · NYI Horvat, Pulock, Barzal, Heineman, Schaefer

  29. P2 5:38Shot by Horvat, saved by Reimer
  30. P2 5:55Shot by Cozens, saved by Sorokin
  31. P2 7:33Shot by MacLean, saved by Reimer
  32. P2 8:22Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Reimer
  33. P2 8:50Zub: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Amadio, Chabot, Pinto, Greig, Zub · NYI Horvat, Pulock, Barzal, Heineman, Schaefer

  34. P2 10:14Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Reimer4v5
  35. P2 10:27Goal by Pinto (Kleven, Matinpalo)4v5+19 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Pinto, Kleven, Matinpalo · NYI Lee, Palat, DeAngelo, Holmstrom, Heineman

  36. P2 11:13Horvat: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Chabot, Cozens, Pinto, Spence, Stützle · NYI Horvat, Pulock, Barzal, Heineman, Schaefer

  37. P2 11:41Shot by Cozens, saved by Sorokin5v4
  38. P2 11:43Shot by Batherson, saved by Sorokin5v4
  39. P2 11:44Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Sorokin5v4
  40. P2 11:45Shot by Batherson, saved by Sorokin5v4
  41. P2 11:46Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Sorokin5v4
  42. P2 14:43Shot by Schaefer, saved by Reimer
  43. P2 16:17Shot by Lee, saved by Reimer
  44. P2 17:06Eller: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Eller, Amadio, Chabot, Pinto, Zub · NYI Schenn, Pelech, DeAngelo, Barzal, Holmstrom

  45. P2 17:40Shot by Schenn, saved by Reimer4v5
  46. P2 17:41Shot by Schenn, saved by Reimer4v5
  47. P2 18:48Shot by Zub, saved by Sorokin4v5
  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 2:02Goal by Schenn (Holmstrom, Mayfield)+21 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Batherson, Spence, Kleven, Stützle · NYI Schenn, Pulock, MacLean, Holmstrom, Schaefer

  51. P3 3:07Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Sorokin
  52. P3 3:33Shot by Cozens, saved by Sorokin
  53. P3 5:09Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Sorokin
  54. P3 5:12Goal by Foegele (Zetterlund, Gilbert)+23 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Foegele, Gilbert, Zetterlund, Stützle, Matinpalo · NYI Schenn, Mayfield, Soucy, MacLean, Holmstrom

  55. P3 9:28Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Sorokin
  56. P3 12:04Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Sorokin
  57. P3 13:32Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Sorokin
  58. P3 13:59Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Sorokin
  59. P3 16:10Shot by Amadio, saved by Sorokin
  60. P3 16:35Shot by Eller, saved by Sorokin
  61. P3 19:47Goal by Tkachuk (Spence, Batherson)+52 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Chabot, Batherson, Tkachuk, Cozens, Spence · NYI Lee, Pageau, Pelech, DeAngelo, Holmstrom

  62. P3 0:00Period end
  63. P3 0:00Final5v6