Thu, Mar 19, 2026·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Buffalo Sabres 5, San Jose Sharks 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 51% of the time.
41%
10%
10%
39%
SJS winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
SJS forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Norris–Doan–Ostlund | Zucker–McLeod–Quinn | Tuch–Thompson–Krebs | Carrick–Malenstyn–Benson | Tuch–Thompson–Benson | Carrick–Malenstyn–Krebs | Byram–Power | Samuelsson–Dahlin | Stanley–Metsa | Samuelsson–Power | Stanley–Dahlin | Byram–Metsa | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wennberg–Regenda–Smith | 0:450.01–0.00 | 3:150.12–0.27 | 2:460.00–0.00 | 1:400.01–0.21 | 3:350.06–0.05 | 0:450.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Sherwood–Eklund–Misa | 2:200.02–0.00 | 2:390.07–0.32 | 0:450.00–0.08 | 2:390.08–0.34 | 3:250.05–0.00 | |||||||
| Smith–Celebrini–Graf | 1:200.07–0.00 | 0:570.00–0.00 | 1:510.17–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.00 | 0:300.02–0.00 | |||||||
| Goodrow–Gaudette–Ostapchuk | 0:400.00–0.00 | 1:100.03–0.00 | 2:000.03–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Toffoli–Celebrini–Graf | 1:260.10–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 1:140.10–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Wennberg–Sherwood–Eklund | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:590.01–0.21 | 1:150.01–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.21 | ||||||||
| Gaudette–Celebrini–Graf | 1:220.02–0.12 | 1:130.02–0.13 | 0:340.00–0.12 | |||||||||
| Sherwood–Celebrini–Graf | 0:470.00–0.00 | 1:020.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Sherwood–Regenda–Misa | 0:540.00–0.02 | 0:520.00–0.02 | ||||||||||
| Goodrow–Ostapchuk–Graf | 0:520.00–0.00 | 1:040.56–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Goodrow–Smith–Celebrini | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Goodrow–Wennberg–Ostapchuk | 0:440.00–0.01 | 1:000.00–0.01 | ||||||||||
| Ferraro–Dickinson | 4:350.09–0.24 | 2:220.10–0.19 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 2:250.01–0.21 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 0:480.03–0.00 | 7:230.20–0.24 | 1:060.03–0.19 | 3:080.00–0.33 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:330.02–0.00 | |
| Orlov–Desharnais | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 3:300.11–0.27 | 2:050.00–0.01 | 1:510.00–0.00 | 1:220.52–0.21 | 6:210.06–0.06 | 1:510.05–0.00 | ||||
| Leddy–Mukhamadullin | 1:590.02–0.00 | 4:060.06–0.23 | 0:580.10–0.00 | 1:030.00–0.03 | 3:310.19–0.13 | 1:150.00–0.03 | 4:020.00–0.10 | 0:360.08–0.00 | ||||
| Leddy–Orlov | 1:050.01–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.05 | 0:430.06–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.00 | 1:290.06–0.00 | |||||||
| Desharnais–Mukhamadullin | 0:400.10–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:400.10–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Desharnais–Ferraro | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Leddy–Dickinson | 0:400.00–0.08 | 1:250.00–0.21 | 0:320.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Ferraro–Mukhamadullin | 0:300.05–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:420.06–0.00 | |||||||||
| Orlov–Mukhamadullin | 0:320.05–0.15 | |||||||||||
| Leddy–Desharnais | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Orlov–Ferraro | 0:380.06–0.00 | 0:460.06–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
SJSBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Bowen ByramBUF | 23 | 24:07 | 1:03 | 1:51 | 4 | 3 |
 Mario FerraroSJS | 24 | 23:06 | 0:58 | 2:03 | 1 | 4 |
 Macklin CelebriniSJS | 21 | 21:33 | 1:02 | 2:11 | 7 | 2 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 22 | 20:47 | 0:57 | 1:28 | 2 | 2 |
 Kiefer SherwoodSJS | 19 | 20:43 | 1:05 | 2:03 | 1 | 0 |
 Will SmithSJS | 21 | 20:29 | 0:59 | 1:46 | 4 | 3 |
 Vincent DesharnaisSJS | 22 | 19:51 | 0:54 | 2:19 | 1 | 3 |
 Dmitry OrlovSJS | 21 | 19:15 | 0:55 | 1:36 | 3 | 2 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 23 | 19:15 | 0:50 | 1:20 | 4 | 2 |
 Sam DickinsonSJS | 20 | 19:02 | 0:57 | 1:37 | 2 | 2 |
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 23 | 18:36 | 0:49 | 1:52 | 3 | 3 |
 Nick LeddySJS | 20 | 18:15 | 0:55 | 1:29 | 1 | 1 |
 Logan StanleyBUF | 21 | 18:06 | 0:52 | 1:52 | 0 | 4 |
 Alexander WennbergSJS | 21 | 17:42 | 0:51 | 2:12 | 4 | 3 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 21 | 17:36 | 0:50 | 3:06 | 3 | 2 |
 Collin GrafSJS | 18 | 17:27 | 0:58 | 1:47 | 3 | 1 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 20 | 16:50 | 0:51 | 1:33 | 3 | 1 |
 Shakir MukhamadullinSJS | 19 | 16:16 | 0:51 | 1:27 | 1 | 1 |
 Noah OstlundBUF | 18 | 16:06 | 0:54 | 1:54 | 2 | 3 |
 Ryan McLeodBUF | 20 | 15:58 | 0:48 | 1:47 | 1 | 1 |
 William EklundSJS | 18 | 15:54 | 0:53 | 1:39 | 3 | 2 |
 Zach MetsaBUF | 20 | 15:48 | 0:47 | 2:07 | 0 | 2 |
 Josh DoanBUF | 19 | 15:17 | 0:48 | 1:14 | 2 | 3 |
 Jack QuinnBUF | 17 | 14:55 | 0:53 | 1:51 | 2 | 0 |
 Josh NorrisBUF | 19 | 14:54 | 0:47 | 1:19 | 2 | 2 |
 Michael MisaSJS | 16 | 14:20 | 0:54 | 1:27 | 1 | 1 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 19 | 14:17 | 0:45 | 1:14 | 3 | 1 |
 Pavol RegendaSJS | 17 | 14:16 | 0:50 | 1:52 | 0 | 0 |
 Jason ZuckerBUF | 17 | 14:08 | 0:50 | 1:35 | 3 | 0 |
 Beck MalenstynBUF | 18 | 13:54 | 0:46 | 1:07 | 1 | 2 |
 Sam CarrickBUF | 17 | 13:27 | 0:47 | 1:23 | 1 | 3 |
 Zach BensonBUF | 16 | 11:59 | 0:45 | 1:17 | 1 | 2 |
 Zack OstapchukSJS | 14 | 11:40 | 0:50 | 1:26 | 1 | 3 |
 Barclay GoodrowSJS | 16 | 11:36 | 0:44 | 1:10 | 1 | 3 |
 Adam GaudetteSJS | 15 | 10:54 | 0:44 | 1:22 | 2 | 1 |
 Tyler ToffoliSJS | 5 | 3:41 | 0:44 | 0:58 | 1 | 0 |