Skip to content
Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 24, 2026·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Ottawa Senators 3, Detroit Red Wings 2

Away

Ottawa Senators

3

Final

Home

Detroit Red Wings

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 60% of the time.

DET winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 3:08Shot by Edvinsson, saved by Ullmark
  3. P1 3:32Cousins: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Larkin, Seider, Raymond, Edvinsson, Finnie · OTT Cousins, Amadio, Pinto, Kleven, Zub

  4. P1 4:55Shot by Greig, saved by Gibson5v4
  5. P1 5:58Shot by Appleton, saved by Ullmark
  6. P1 6:23Shot by Matinpalo, saved by Gibson
  7. P1 6:44Shot by Batherson, saved by Gibson
  8. P1 8:38Appleton: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Perron, Copp, Appleton, Bernard-Docker, Johansson · OTT Cousins, Amadio, Pinto, Kleven, Zub

  9. P1 10:44Shot by Finnie, saved by Ullmark
  10. P1 12:22Shot by Raymond, saved by Ullmark
  11. P1 12:50Shot by Johansson, saved by Ullmark
  12. P1 13:38Shot by Edvinsson, saved by Ullmark
  13. P1 14:26Spence: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kane, Chiarot, Faulk, Copp, DeBrincat · OTT Tkachuk, Cozens, Spence, Greig, Donovan

  14. P1 14:28Shot by Seider, saved by Ullmark5v4
  15. P1 14:48Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Ullmark5v4
  16. P1 15:56Shot by Greig, saved by Gibson5v4
  17. P1 16:09Shot by Faulk, saved by Ullmark5v4
  18. P1 16:36Edvinsson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Perron, Kane, Copp, Seider, Edvinsson · OTT Giroux, Greig, Stützle, Matinpalo, Yakemchuk

  19. P1 17:15Goal by Tkachuk (Stützle, Yakemchuk)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: DET Copp, Bernard-Docker, Johansson, Kasper · OTT Batherson, Tkachuk, Cozens, Stützle, Yakemchuk

  20. P1 19:58Shot by Perron, saved by Ullmark
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 2:14Shot by Yakemchuk, saved by Gibson
  24. P2 3:14Shot by Larkin, saved by Ullmark
  25. P2 3:31Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Ullmark
  26. P2 3:35Shot by Seider, saved by Ullmark
  27. P2 5:13Shot by Chiarot, saved by Ullmark
  28. P2 5:40Shot by Donovan, saved by Gibson
  29. P2 5:46Shot by Foegele, saved by Gibson
  30. P2 6:14Shot by Seider, saved by Ullmark
  31. P2 7:39Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Ullmark
  32. P2 7:54Shot by Stützle, saved by Gibson
  33. P2 8:12Shot by Seider, saved by Ullmark
  34. P2 8:14Shot by Kasper, saved by Ullmark
  35. P2 9:28Goal by Yakemchuk (Zub)+16 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Faulk, Larkin, Raymond, Finnie · OTT Cousins, Amadio, Pinto, Zub, Yakemchuk

  36. P2 10:04Shot by Batherson, saved by Gibson
  37. P2 10:20Shot by Kane, saved by Ullmark
  38. P2 11:05Goal by Eller (Tkachuk)+8 pts WP

    On ice: DET Perron, Compher, Bernard-Docker, Johansson, Kasper · OTT Eller, Tkachuk, Greig, Zub, Yakemchuk

  39. P2 12:02Shot by Cousins, saved by Gibson
  40. P2 14:50Goal by Shine (Edvinsson, Seider)+8 pts WP

    On ice: DET van Riemsdyk, Shine, Seider, Edvinsson, Kasper · OTT Amadio, Batherson, Spence, Stützle, Zub

  41. P2 16:32Shot by Greig, saved by Gibson
  42. P2 16:39Shot by Cozens, saved by Gibson
  43. P2 0:00Period end
  44. P3 0:00Period start
  45. P3 0:19Shot by Cozens, saved by Gibson
  46. P3 2:39Matinpalo: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET van Riemsdyk, Chiarot, Faulk, Shine, Kasper · OTT Eller, Foegele, Zetterlund, Spence, Matinpalo

  47. P3 3:55Shot by Seider, saved by Ullmark5v4
  48. P3 4:13Goal by Larkin (DeBrincat, Raymond)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: DET Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond, Finnie · OTT Pinto, Kleven, Stützle, Zub

  49. P3 5:00Shot by Matinpalo, saved by Gibson
  50. P3 5:32Shot by Seider, saved by Ullmark
  51. P3 7:05Shot by Edvinsson, saved by Ullmark
  52. P3 8:16Shot by Larkin, saved by Ullmark
  53. P3 8:39Shot by Kane, saved by Ullmark
  54. P3 9:48Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Gibson
  55. P3 12:02Shot by Finnie, saved by Ullmark
  56. P3 12:41Shot by Faulk, saved by Ullmark
  57. P3 13:07Shot by Batherson, saved by Gibson
  58. P3 13:42Shot by Seider, saved by Ullmark
  59. P3 13:54Greig: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Larkin, Seider, Raymond, Edvinsson, Finnie · OTT Tkachuk, Cozens, Spence, Greig, Yakemchuk

  60. P3 14:17Shot by Kleven, saved by Gibson5v4
  61. P3 15:39Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Ullmark5v4
  62. P3 17:05Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Ullmark
  63. P3 17:48Shot by Stützle, saved by Gibson
  64. P3 18:59Shot by Larkin, saved by Ullmark6v5
  65. P3 19:48Shot by Kane, saved by Ullmark6v5
  66. P3 19:49Shot by Larkin, saved by Ullmark6v5
  67. P3 19:51Tkachuk: Roughing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: DET Kane, Copp, Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond · OTT Giroux, Tkachuk, Spence, Stützle, Zub

  68. P3 19:51Larkin: Roughing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: DET Kane, Copp, Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond · OTT Giroux, Tkachuk, Spence, Stützle, Zub

  69. P3 19:51Zub: Fighting (5 min)6v5

    On ice: DET Kane, Copp, Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond · OTT Giroux, Tkachuk, Spence, Stützle, Zub

  70. P3 19:51DeBrincat: Fighting (5 min)6v5

    On ice: DET Kane, Copp, Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond · OTT Giroux, Tkachuk, Spence, Stützle, Zub

  71. P3 19:53Shot by Perron, saved by Ullmark6v5
  72. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  73. P3 0:00Final6v5