Tue, Mar 24, 2026·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Ottawa Senators 3, Detroit Red Wings 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 60% of the time.
51%
9%
9%
32%
DET winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28:11 | 0.00 | 63.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 26:24 | 0.03 | 51.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 25:10 | 0.02 | 53.2% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:57 | 0.11 | 55.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:06 | 0.01 | 28.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:57 | 0.22 | 52.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 18:45 | 0.61 | 78.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 17:33 | 0.25 | 50.2% | +14.7 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 15:48 | 0.26 | 85.0% | +23.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:13 | 0.13 | 82.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:41 | 0.29 | 57.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:23 | 0.00 | 57.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 12:46 | 0.11 | 80.4% | +30.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:20 | 0.02 | 33.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:23 | 0.13 | 60.2% | +8.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:04 | 0.04 | 38.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:03 | 0.23 | 35.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4:42 | 0.02 | 60.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 35 | 33 | 2 | .943 | 3.03 | +1.0 | 60:00 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 28:38 | 0.23 | 49.0% | +7.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 22:38 | 0.82 | 48.9% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 22:04 | 0.12 | 43.0% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:53 | 0.09 | 33.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 21:32 | 0.07 | 45.0% | +7.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21:19 | 0.36 | 36.1% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:50 | 0.07 | 25.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:41 | 0.29 | 28.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:43 | 0.07 | 41.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:12 | 0.10 | 38.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:51 | 0.00 | 50.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:40 | 0.09 | 6.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:32 | 0.19 | 46.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:16 | 0.03 | 74.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:52 | 0.02 | 29.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 10:28 | 0.41 | 40.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:39 | 0.00 | 22.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 5:17 | 0.07 | 47.9% | +7.9 |
| L | 21 | 18 | 3 | .857 | 2.47 | −0.5 | 58:16 |