Tue, Mar 24, 2026·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Ottawa Senators 3, Detroit Red Wings 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 60% of the time.
51%
9%
9%
32%
DET winsOTT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Tkachuk–Cozens–Greig | Giroux–Batherson–Stützle | Cousins–Amadio–Pinto | Eller–Foegele–Zetterlund | Spence–Matinpalo | Kleven–Zub | Kleven–Yakemchuk | Spence–Kleven | Spence–Yakemchuk | Spence–Donovan | Kleven–Matinpalo | Zub–Yakemchuk | Spence–Zub | Zub–Matinpalo | Matinpalo–Yakemchuk | Zub–Donovan | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larkin–Raymond–Finnie | 4:500.15–0.23 | 0:310.02–0.02 | 3:260.15–0.08 | 1:000.04–0.00 | 1:470.03–0.28 | 5:580.19–0.08 | 0:320.02–0.02 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 1:450.07–0.08 | 0:350.00–0.10 | ||||||
| Kane–Copp–DeBrincat | 1:400.00–0.52 | 3:020.26–0.29 | 1:570.01–0.00 | 4:060.19–0.13 | 0:420.00–0.52 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:040.08–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Kane–Compher–DeBrincat | 1:420.00–0.04 | 0:500.00–0.01 | 1:130.00–0.00 | 1:150.00–0.04 | 0:320.03–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Perron–Compher–Appleton | 2:150.00–0.09 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 1:370.00–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.09 | ||||||||||||
| van Riemsdyk–Shine–Kasper | 1:000.00–0.00 | 1:120.00–0.25 | 0:480.16–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:330.07–0.02 | 0:460.00–0.25 | ||||||||||
| Perron–Copp–Appleton | 0:420.01–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.01 | 0:530.00–0.01 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:550.01–0.00 | ||||||||||
| van Riemsdyk–Compher–Kasper | 0:380.00–0.01 | 0:490.01–0.04 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.01 | 1:010.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Seider–Edvinsson | 5:010.11–0.58 | 3:090.05–0.06 | 3:380.12–0.01 | 1:250.25–0.00 | 5:270.07–0.28 | 3:330.35–0.04 | 1:390.03–0.54 | 0:380.00–0.04 | 1:150.02–0.00 | 1:160.01–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | ||||
| Chiarot–Faulk | 4:280.00–0.16 | 3:280.22–0.40 | 2:160.03–0.08 | 1:450.01–0.25 | 2:140.31–0.13 | 4:200.04–0.24 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.00 | 1:120.00–0.08 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.09 | 1:060.08–0.10 | 0:410.00–0.02 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.25 |
| Bernard-Docker–Johansson | 1:470.00–0.11 | 1:530.02–0.01 | 2:310.03–0.07 | 1:520.00–0.02 | 0:510.02–0.00 | 1:410.00–0.01 | 0:490.00–0.11 | 0:330.00–0.01 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.04 | ||||||
| Faulk–Seider | 0:360.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Faulk–Edvinsson | 0:400.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Chiarot–Seider | 0:430.09–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Faulk–Johansson |
Every shift, one row per player.
DETOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Moritz SeiderDET | 30 | 28:38 | 0:57 | 2:27 | 3 | 6 |
 Tyler KlevenOTT | 37 | 28:11 | 0:46 | 2:04 | 1 | 6 |
 Jordan SpenceOTT | 35 | 26:24 | 0:45 | 1:39 | 1 | 4 |
 Artem ZubOTT | 31 | 25:10 | 0:49 | 2:06 | 1 | 7 |
 Dylan LarkinDET | 26 | 22:38 | 0:52 | 2:03 | 4 | 3 |
 Lucas RaymondDET | 24 | 22:04 | 0:55 | 2:08 | 4 | 3 |
 Justin FaulkDET | 27 | 21:53 | 0:49 | 1:22 | 3 | 1 |
 Simon EdvinssonDET | 28 | 21:32 | 0:46 | 1:38 | 2 | 5 |
 Alex DeBrincatDET | 22 | 21:19 | 0:58 | 2:00 | 5 | 1 |
 Nikolas MatinpaloOTT | 32 | 19:57 | 0:37 | 1:17 | 0 | 6 |
 Andrew CoppDET | 22 | 19:50 | 0:54 | 2:13 | 3 | 1 |
 Patrick KaneDET | 22 | 19:41 | 0:54 | 1:44 | 5 | 1 |
 Shane PintoOTT | 27 | 19:06 | 0:42 | 1:34 | 1 | 9 |
 Michael AmadioOTT | 25 | 18:57 | 0:45 | 1:32 | 0 | 8 |
 Ridly GreigOTT | 27 | 18:45 | 0:42 | 1:22 | 3 | 3 |
 Ben ChiarotDET | 28 | 18:43 | 0:40 | 1:28 | 2 | 3 |
 Tim StützleOTT | 27 | 17:33 | 0:39 | 1:38 | 2 | 2 |
 Emmitt FinnieDET | 24 | 17:12 | 0:43 | 1:21 | 3 | 2 |
 Brady TkachukOTT | 25 | 15:48 | 0:38 | 1:27 | 4 | 1 |
 Dylan CozensOTT | 22 | 15:13 | 0:42 | 1:23 | 4 | 1 |
 J.T. CompherDET | 19 | 14:51 | 0:47 | 1:24 | 1 | 6 |
 Drake BathersonOTT | 20 | 13:41 | 0:41 | 1:24 | 3 | 1 |
 Claude GirouxOTT | 26 | 13:23 | 0:31 | 1:10 | 1 | 5 |
 Carter YakemchukOTT | 21 | 12:46 | 0:36 | 1:02 | 4 | 0 |
 Nick CousinsOTT | 20 | 12:20 | 0:37 | 1:28 | 0 | 4 |
 David PerronDET | 15 | 11:40 | 0:47 | 1:19 | 1 | 2 |
 Marco KasperDET | 17 | 11:32 | 0:41 | 1:11 | 1 | 2 |
 Mason AppletonDET | 14 | 11:16 | 0:48 | 1:17 | 0 | 3 |
 Albert JohanssonDET | 17 | 10:52 | 0:38 | 1:03 | 3 | 2 |
 James van RiemsdykDET | 14 | 10:28 | 0:45 | 1:08 | 2 | 0 |
 Lars EllerOTT | 21 | 10:23 | 0:30 | 1:07 | 2 | 3 |
 Fabian ZetterlundOTT | 15 | 10:04 | 0:40 | 1:00 | 2 | 0 |
 Warren FoegeleOTT | 17 | 10:03 | 0:35 | 1:06 | 2 | 0 |
 Jacob Bernard-DockerDET | 17 | 9:39 | 0:34 | 1:00 | 3 | 2 |
 Dominik ShineDET | 8 | 5:17 | 0:40 | 0:52 | 0 | 0 |
 Jorian DonovanOTT | 7 | 4:42 | 0:40 | 1:16 | 0 | 0 |