Thu, Mar 26, 2026·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Pittsburgh Penguins 4, Ottawa Senators 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 67% of the time.
27%
60%
OTT winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 8 | 26:08 | 0.91 | 59.4% | +59.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:39 | 0.01 | 52.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:24 | 0.65 | 51.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:11 | 0.05 | 53.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:02 | 0.00 | 56.1% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 6 | 20:52 | 0.71 | 64.1% | +59.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 20:32 | 0.33 | 60.0% | +21.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:44 | 0.36 | 54.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:14 | 0.54 | 62.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 17:25 | 0.54 | 47.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:12 | 0.05 | 61.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:41 | 0.19 | 61.0% | +21.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:37 | 0.19 | 67.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:22 | 0.05 | 65.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:25 | 0.12 | 80.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:36 | 0.16 | 54.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:18 | 0.00 | 46.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 6:39 | 0.01 | 77.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 26 | 3 | .897 | 3.66 | +0.7 | 65:00 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27:48 | 0.02 | 52.1% | +26.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 27:00 | 0.01 | 50.7% | +20.8 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 23:21 | 0.40 | 43.5% | +37.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:22 | 0.01 | 30.6% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 19:41 | 0.89 | 51.5% | +37.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19:01 | 0.58 | 49.1% | +11.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:24 | 0.45 | 69.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:00 | 0.01 | 35.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:42 | 0.27 | 48.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:21 | 0.23 | 35.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:08 | 0.25 | 53.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:37 | 0.13 | 66.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:29 | 0.00 | 33.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12:32 | 0.20 | 60.4% | +20.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:55 | 0.10 | 20.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:23 | 0.10 | 10.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:22 | 0.00 | 6.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:00 | 0.00 | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| O | 40 | 37 | 3 | .925 | 4.87 | +1.9 | 65:00 |