Thu, Mar 26, 2026·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Pittsburgh Penguins 4, Ottawa Senators 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 67% of the time.
27%
60%
OTT winsPIT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against PIT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Mantha–Novak–Chinakhov | Acciari–Dewar–Soderblom | Brazeau–Koivunen–Kindel | Crosby–Rust–Rakell | Rust–Rakell–Kindel | Rust–Rakell–Chinakhov | Rust–Rakell–Dewar | Karlsson–Wotherspoon | Letang–Girard | Clifton–Shea | Karlsson–Girard | Letang–Shea | Clifton–Wotherspoon | Clifton–Girard | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giroux–Batherson–Stützle | 6:390.40–0.48 | 2:200.06–0.11 | 1:000.21–0.00 | 2:070.20–0.06 | 6:100.12–0.20 | 2:540.13–0.35 | 0:440.18–0.20 | 0:450.21–0.00 | ||||||
| Tkachuk–Cozens–Greig | 0:420.00–0.00 | 1:090.14–0.13 | 3:070.18–0.12 | 0:580.00–0.01 | 1:260.14–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 7:500.52–0.27 | 1:260.00–0.00 | 1:190.06–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | ||||
| Cousins–Amadio–Pinto | 1:250.18–0.00 | 2:510.00–0.02 | 0:400.00–0.34 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 3:200.00–0.35 | 3:470.25–0.01 | 2:330.07–0.00 | |||||
| Eller–Foegele–Zetterlund | 1:010.00–0.01 | 1:200.00–0.12 | 0:330.00–0.02 | 1:180.00–0.05 | 1:400.00–0.31 | 0:570.00–0.09 | ||||||||
| Foegele–Zetterlund–Stützle | 0:450.00–0.17 | 0:350.00–0.10 | 1:010.00–0.23 | 0:380.00–0.10 | ||||||||||
| Foegele–Zetterlund–Pinto | 0:450.00–0.14 | 1:100.00–0.14 | ||||||||||||
| Kleven–Zub | 1:370.09–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:560.04–0.13 | 2:520.00–0.11 | 1:120.00–0.01 | 1:500.14–0.00 | 1:150.00–0.00 | 7:470.19–0.31 | 2:420.00–0.00 | 2:050.02–0.13 | 0:370.09–0.00 | |||
| Spence–Yakemchuk | 3:430.20–0.38 | 1:350.03–0.07 | 1:040.21–0.10 | 0:480.03–0.00 | 4:210.05–0.15 | 2:400.08–0.45 | 0:450.18–0.00 | |||||||
| Donovan–Matinpalo | 3:460.06–0.18 | 0:420.00–0.12 | 1:180.00–0.13 | 2:000.00–0.21 | 2:150.06–0.13 | 0:430.00–0.09 | ||||||||
| Spence–Matinpalo | 1:200.18–0.00 | 1:280.00–0.02 | 1:220.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.16 | 2:240.00–0.16 | 2:150.12–0.01 | 0:420.06–0.01 | |||||||
| Kleven–Yakemchuk | 1:440.19–0.05 | 1:120.00–0.14 | 0:420.00–0.14 | 1:470.12–0.05 | 1:000.07–0.00 | |||||||||
| Spence–Kleven | 1:090.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.09 | 2:100.29–0.09 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Spence–Zub | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:320.05–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 1:340.05–0.00 | 1:090.00–0.00 | 0:340.01–0.00 | ||||||||
| Zub–Matinpalo | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.26 | ||||||||||||
| Zub–Donovan | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.02 | ||||||||||||
| Kleven–Matinpalo | 0:440.00–0.10 | 0:380.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
OTTPITFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Jordan SpenceOTT | 36 | 27:48 | 0:46 | 1:31 | 5 | 5 |
 Tyler KlevenOTT | 36 | 27:00 | 0:45 | 2:12 | 3 | 5 |
 Erik KarlssonPIT | 26 | 26:08 | 1:00 | 1:43 | 3 | 5 |
 Tim StützleOTT | 24 | 23:21 | 0:58 | 1:55 | 3 | 1 |
 Samuel GirardPIT | 22 | 22:39 | 1:02 | 1:33 | 2 | 2 |
 Artem ZubOTT | 32 | 22:22 | 0:42 | 1:22 | 2 | 3 |
 Egor ChinakhovPIT | 24 | 21:24 | 0:54 | 1:43 | 1 | 2 |
 Kris LetangPIT | 22 | 21:11 | 0:58 | 1:37 | 1 | 2 |
 Parker WotherspoonPIT | 22 | 21:02 | 0:57 | 2:40 | 4 | 3 |
 Rickard RakellPIT | 27 | 20:52 | 0:46 | 1:43 | 2 | 5 |
 Bryan RustPIT | 27 | 20:32 | 0:46 | 1:43 | 5 | 4 |
 Anthony ManthaPIT | 25 | 19:44 | 0:47 | 1:41 | 2 | 1 |
 Drake BathersonOTT | 25 | 19:41 | 0:47 | 1:36 | 3 | 1 |
 Brady TkachukOTT | 27 | 19:01 | 0:42 | 1:22 | 6 | 6 |
 Dylan CozensOTT | 25 | 18:24 | 0:44 | 1:16 | 6 | 5 |
 Connor DewarPIT | 23 | 18:14 | 0:48 | 1:18 | 1 | 5 |
 Nikolas MatinpaloOTT | 24 | 18:00 | 0:45 | 2:12 | 0 | 3 |
 Carter YakemchukOTT | 25 | 17:42 | 0:42 | 1:32 | 5 | 1 |
 Tommy NovakPIT | 24 | 17:25 | 0:44 | 1:23 | 1 | 3 |
 Shane PintoOTT | 24 | 17:21 | 0:43 | 1:25 | 2 | 6 |
 Connor CliftonPIT | 22 | 16:12 | 0:44 | 1:34 | 0 | 1 |
 Claude GirouxOTT | 24 | 16:08 | 0:40 | 1:21 | 5 | 1 |
 Ben KindelPIT | 23 | 15:41 | 0:41 | 1:13 | 5 | 0 |
 Ridly GreigOTT | 22 | 15:37 | 0:43 | 1:15 | 6 | 5 |
 Noel AcciariPIT | 24 | 15:37 | 0:39 | 1:03 | 3 | 8 |
 Michael AmadioOTT | 23 | 15:29 | 0:40 | 1:20 | 1 | 3 |
 Ryan SheaPIT | 21 | 15:22 | 0:44 | 1:21 | 0 | 1 |
 Nick CousinsOTT | 18 | 12:32 | 0:42 | 1:23 | 1 | 1 |
 Elmer SoderblomPIT | 15 | 12:25 | 0:50 | 1:18 | 1 | 1 |
 Fabian ZetterlundOTT | 18 | 11:55 | 0:40 | 1:28 | 1 | 0 |
 Warren FoegeleOTT | 16 | 11:23 | 0:43 | 1:32 | 1 | 0 |
 Justin BrazeauPIT | 18 | 10:36 | 0:35 | 1:10 | 2 | 0 |
 Ville KoivunenPIT | 17 | 10:18 | 0:36 | 1:04 | 2 | 0 |
 Jorian DonovanOTT | 13 | 9:22 | 0:43 | 1:19 | 0 | 0 |
 Lars EllerOTT | 14 | 8:00 | 0:34 | 1:06 | 0 | 2 |
 Sidney CrosbyPIT | 9 | 6:39 | 0:44 | 1:19 | 1 | 1 |