Tue, Mar 31, 2026·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Detroit Red Wings 1, Pittsburgh Penguins 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 72% of the time.
65%
21%
PIT winsDET wins
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 22:40 | 0.09 | 36.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 22:09 | 0.08 | 41.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 21:51 | 0.18 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:29 | 0.04 | 55.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:14 | 0.15 | 38.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 18:26 | 0.57 | 77.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 17:41 | 0.18 | 62.2% | +7.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:34 | 0.33 | 73.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:33 | 0.19 | 37.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:47 | 0.00 | 52.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 14:10 | 0.22 | 25.3% | +7.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:57 | 0.21 | 24.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 13:54 | 0.13 | 32.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:48 | 0.10 | 47.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:26 | 0.00 | 16.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:12 | 0.00 | 0.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:17 | 0.22 | 47.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:54 | 0.00 | 29.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 14 | 11 | 3 | .786 | 1.43 | −1.6 | 20:00 | |
| – | 18 | 16 | 2 | .889 | 2.69 | +0.7 | 39:58 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 22:48 | 0.20 | 45.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 20:31 | 0.12 | 46.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 19:19 | 0.00 | 56.0% | +8.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:10 | 0.05 | 57.9% | +12.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:02 | 0.31 | 52.6% | +12.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:58 | 0.02 | 56.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 17:32 | 0.49 | 73.1% | +12.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 17:20 | 0.02 | 64.9% | +0.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 17:10 | 0.00 | 66.2% | +6.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 17:09 | 0.72 | 72.4% | +12.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 17:05 | 0.51 | 51.2% | +21.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:05 | 0.27 | 58.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:42 | 0.26 | 58.1% | +0.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 14:32 | 0.43 | 56.6% | +0.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 14:12 | 0.11 | 33.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 13:57 | 0.30 | 66.5% | +12.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 11:43 | 0.27 | 31.2% | +6.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 9:40 | 0.03 | 22.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 23 | 22 | 1 | .957 | 2.69 | +1.7 | 60:00 |