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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 31, 2026·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Detroit Red Wings 1, Pittsburgh Penguins 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 72% of the time.

PIT winsDET wins

Detroit Red Wings

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Justin FaulkD · #72000−2222:400.0936.8%0.0
Simon EdvinssonD · #77000−2022:090.0841.7%0.0
Moritz SeiderD · #53000−3221:510.1844.3%0.0
Ben ChiarotD · #8000−2219:290.0455.9%0.0
Albert JohanssonD · #20000−1219:140.1538.0%0.0
Alex DeBrincatRW · #93000−1418:260.5777.6%0.0
Patrick KaneRW · #88011−1217:410.1862.2%+7.6
Andrew CoppC · #18000−1217:340.3373.4%0.0
Mason AppletonC · #22000−1116:330.1937.7%0.0
Jacob Bernard-DockerD · #250000014:470.0052.6%0.0
Dylan LarkinC · #71101−1214:100.2225.3%+7.6
Marco KasperC · #92000−1113:570.2124.8%0.0
Lucas RaymondLW · #23000−3113:540.1332.5%0.0
J.T. CompherLW · #37000−2113:480.1047.3%0.0
James van RiemsdykLW · #21000−1013:260.0016.7%0.0
Emmitt FinnieC · #58000−1013:120.000.5%0.0
David PerronLW · #57000−2112:170.2247.3%0.0
Carter MazurLW · #34000006:540.0029.0%0.0
John Gibson#36L14113.7861.43−1.620:00
Cam Talbot#39–18162.8892.69+0.739:58

Pittsburgh Penguins

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Erik KarlssonD · #65000+1422:480.2045.2%0.0
Parker WotherspoonD · #28000+1320:310.1246.9%0.0
Kris LetangD · #58011+1019:190.0056.0%+8.1
Sidney CrosbyC · #87011+1118:100.0557.9%+12.8
Rickard RakellRW · #67101+1218:020.3152.6%+12.8
Samuel GirardD · #49000+1117:580.0256.8%0.0
Evgeni MalkinC · #71011+1517:320.4973.1%+12.2
Ryan SheaD · #5011+3017:200.0264.9%+0.5
Connor CliftonD · #75011+3017:100.0066.2%+6.8
Anthony ManthaRW · #39101+1417:090.7272.4%+12.2
Egor ChinakhovRW · #59112+2117:050.5151.2%+21.0
Tommy NovakC · #180000116:050.2758.8%0.0
Elmer SoderblomLW · #25011+1214:420.2658.1%+0.5
Noel AcciariC · #55101+1414:320.4356.6%+0.5
Ben KindelC · #81000+2014:120.1133.6%0.0
Connor DewarC · #19011+2213:570.3066.5%+12.2
Justin BrazeauRW · #16101+2211:430.2731.2%+6.8
Avery HayesRW · #85000+109:400.0322.9%0.0
Stuart Skinner#74W23221.9572.69+1.760:00