Thu, Apr 2, 2026·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Buffalo Sabres 1, Ottawa Senators 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 77% of the time.
70%
16%
OTT winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 22:58 | 0.18 | 54.6% | +18.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 22:37 | 0.15 | 60.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:49 | 0.10 | 29.0% | +18.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:41 | 0.05 | 64.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:34 | 0.05 | 50.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:57 | 0.30 | 38.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 18:25 | 0.28 | 40.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:35 | 0.29 | 54.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:12 | 0.25 | 44.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:48 | 0.00 | 67.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:10 | 0.14 | 38.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:04 | 0.01 | 28.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:13 | 0.24 | 77.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:30 | 0.04 | 45.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:16 | 0.15 | 34.7% | +18.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:39 | 0.00 | 25.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:33 | 0.00 | 6.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:17 | 0.00 | 8.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 22 | 20 | 2 | .909 | 2.16 | +0.2 | 58:42 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 30:48 | 0.20 | 61.1% | +6.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 24:29 | 0.01 | 39.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 24:24 | 0.00 | 47.6% | +34.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 20:55 | 0.03 | 73.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:10 | 0.94 | 67.3% | +0.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:57 | 0.08 | 50.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:53 | 0.00 | 57.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 17:08 | 0.82 | 38.1% | +25.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 16:09 | 0.61 | 46.9% | +19.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:55 | 0.00 | 45.8% | +19.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:18 | 0.03 | 36.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:12 | 0.15 | 49.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:52 | 0.49 | 68.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:37 | 0.04 | 33.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 10:25 | 0.11 | 61.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 9:42 | 0.10 | 63.4% | +34.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 8:18 | 0.13 | 57.1% | +34.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1:48 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 22 | 21 | 1 | .955 | 2.24 | +1.2 | 60:00 |