Sun, Apr 5, 2026·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Carolina Hurricanes 3, Ottawa Senators 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 91% of the time.
88%
OTT winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:23 | 0.01 | 31.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:37 | 0.08 | 36.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:33 | 0.01 | 34.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 19:05 | 0.10 | 33.7% | +0.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:53 | 0.08 | 40.6% | +14.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:31 | 0.00 | 41.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:10 | 0.09 | 41.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:57 | 0.22 | 38.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:27 | 0.03 | 36.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16:12 | 0.37 | 46.7% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:06 | 0.20 | 42.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 0 | 15:14 | 0.00 | 30.5% | +15.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 15:09 | 0.35 | 30.5% | +0.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 14:44 | 0.37 | 30.5% | +14.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:44 | 0.08 | 33.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:04 | 0.00 | 34.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:46 | 0.06 | 34.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:07 | 0.03 | 23.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 30 | 25 | 5 | .833 | 4.01 | −1.0 | 58:32 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 26:47 | 0.28 | 54.4% | +0.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 23:08 | 0.05 | 39.1% | +24.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:57 | 0.22 | 75.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17:10 | 0.26 | 68.6% | +13.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 16:56 | 0.28 | 62.9% | +28.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:51 | 0.00 | 73.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 16:30 | 0.31 | 79.4% | +28.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:20 | 0.01 | 34.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 16:16 | 1.34 | 89.9% | +17.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:59 | 0.01 | 82.0% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 15:35 | 0.70 | 82.6% | +28.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:11 | 0.07 | 58.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:40 | 0.58 | 64.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:01 | 0.74 | 70.1% | +0.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:43 | 0.53 | 77.0% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:45 | 0.07 | 20.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:43 | 0.00 | 22.9% | +13.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:09 | 0.00 | 11.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 28 | 25 | 3 | .893 | 2.10 | −0.9 | 60:00 |