Sat, Oct 10, 2026·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Anaheim Ducks 4, Calgary Flames 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 61% of the time.
31%
8%
53%
CGY winsANA wins
Anaheim Ducks
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 23:42 | 0.07 | 57.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:14 | 0.02 | 58.0% | +16.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 20:37 | 0.23 | 39.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 20:18 | 0.07 | 40.1% | +12.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:49 | 0.11 | 38.1% | +24.5 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 4 | 19:23 | 0.35 | 67.3% | +22.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:21 | 0.01 | 65.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 18:37 | 0.20 | 69.0% | +10.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:32 | 0.04 | 11.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:01 | 0.24 | 56.7% | +12.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:40 | 0.39 | 43.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:19 | 0.08 | 38.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:04 | 0.39 | 65.2% | +10.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:51 | 0.04 | 36.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 11:49 | 0.26 | 46.6% | +41.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:48 | 0.48 | 41.1% | +16.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:37 | 0.56 | 60.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:18 | 0.00 | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 27 | 2 | .931 | 2.93 | +0.9 | 60:00 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 23:37 | 0.06 | 60.9% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:11 | 0.13 | 35.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 4 | 21:26 | 0.06 | 67.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 21:10 | 0.35 | 44.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19:47 | 0.01 | 40.8% | +36.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:24 | 0.01 | 43.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:01 | 0.00 | 56.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:19 | 0.03 | 55.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 17:48 | 0.07 | 27.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:58 | 0.24 | 28.0% | +15.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:49 | 0.63 | 47.3% | +20.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 14:54 | 0.20 | 43.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:39 | 0.22 | 59.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:40 | 0.00 | 32.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:35 | 0.17 | 90.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:28 | 0.27 | 90.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 11:02 | 0.29 | 54.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:51 | 0.18 | 88.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 28 | 24 | 4 | .857 | 2.66 | −1.3 | 57:11 |