Tue, Dec 28, 2010·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Carolina Hurricanes 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 51% of the time.
42%
9%
11%
38%
TOR winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 25:21 | 0.00 | 47.5% | +37.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25:17 | 0.03 | 69.3% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 22:32 | 0.24 | 48.6% | +42.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:47 | 0.06 | 66.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 20:15 | 0.61 | 59.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:03 | 0.08 | 38.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 17:13 | 0.04 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:59 | 0.21 | 40.7% | +18.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:24 | 0.00 | 28.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:07 | 0.04 | 48.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 15:08 | 0.37 | 43.8% | +18.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:13 | 0.00 | 20.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:13 | 0.00 | 72.7% | +22.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12:16 | 0.19 | 44.2% | +37.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 11:55 | 0.16 | 57.7% | +60.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:02 | 0.03 | 57.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 7:31 | 0.17 | 61.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 1:58 | 0.00 | 34.1% | +18.6 |
| W | 37 | 34 | 3 | .919 | 2.39 | −0.6 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23:57 | 0.10 | 55.3% | +19.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23:09 | 0.30 | 49.6% | +20.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:20 | 0.00 | 58.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −2 | 3 | 21:42 | 0.13 | 44.2% | +43.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:32 | 0.17 | 42.5% | +24.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:25 | 0.36 | 76.2% | +24.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | −1 | 7 | 20:21 | 0.65 | 47.7% | +40.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19:52 | 0.10 | 77.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19:38 | 0.14 | 69.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:02 | 0.00 | 59.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 18:19 | 0.17 | 22.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 14:43 | 0.10 | 27.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:03 | 0.06 | 50.1% | +20.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:29 | 0.09 | 81.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:11 | 0.02 | 27.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 5:59 | 0.00 | 42.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:47 | 0.00 | 17.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:12 | 0.00 | 46.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 27 | 23 | 4 | .852 | 2.24 | −1.8 | 58:21 |