Tue, Mar 1, 2011·Madison Square Garden, New York
Buffalo Sabres 3, New York Rangers 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 55% of the time.
47%
9%
36%
NYR winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24:46 | 0.05 | 51.1% | +19.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23:34 | 0.15 | 51.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 18:22 | 0.00 | 36.9% | +27.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:33 | 0.06 | 40.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:29 | 0.14 | 33.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:13 | 0.14 | 51.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:06 | 0.00 | 37.3% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:46 | 0.08 | 43.7% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:40 | 0.21 | 35.7% | +19.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:26 | 0.08 | 41.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 16:19 | 0.89 | 53.9% | +19.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:54 | 0.32 | 34.8% | +14.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:49 | 0.36 | 58.1% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:07 | 0.09 | 46.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:42 | 0.28 | 39.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:20 | 0.09 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:15 | 0.14 | 29.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:09 | 0.09 | 36.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 31 | 29 | 2 | .935 | 3.48 | +1.5 | 59:56 |
New York Rangers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 24:44 | 0.03 | 65.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 24:10 | 0.09 | 66.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 6 | 23:32 | 0.35 | 37.4% | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21:50 | 0.98 | 72.9% | +12.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:24 | 0.00 | 39.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:36 | 0.00 | 59.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:32 | 0.01 | 51.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18:58 | 0.70 | 60.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 17:25 | 0.13 | 26.5% | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:09 | 0.19 | 65.5% | +12.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:22 | 0.01 | 43.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:03 | 0.37 | 96.4% | +12.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 12:49 | 0.19 | 25.1% | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:11 | 0.15 | 67.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:10 | 0.08 | 66.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:54 | 0.16 | 63.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:47 | 0.00 | 58.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4:00 | 0.02 | 40.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 26 | 23 | 3 | .885 | 3.16 | +0.2 | 58:33 |