Tue, Mar 8, 2011·Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum, Uniondale
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, New York Islanders 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 59% of the time.
51%
8%
9%
33%
NYI winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29:44 | 0.00 | 62.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28:01 | 0.09 | 28.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26:55 | 0.03 | 60.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 22:29 | 0.08 | 39.0% | +19.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 21:01 | 0.26 | 65.3% | +32.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 20:55 | 0.53 | 35.3% | +32.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 20:00 | 0.31 | 34.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:42 | 0.19 | 41.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:06 | 0.22 | 34.5% | +32.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:23 | 0.22 | 55.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:31 | 0.34 | 49.8% | +25.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15:10 | 0.43 | 51.8% | +45.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:57 | 0.00 | 25.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:08 | 0.01 | 20.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:24 | 0.02 | 20.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:45 | 0.16 | 29.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 8:12 | 0.02 | 8.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 4:45 | 0.00 | 21.2% | +19.6 |
| O | 40 | 36 | 4 | .900 | 3.46 | −0.5 | 64:02 |
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 24:55 | 0.05 | 72.0% | +22.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 5 | 23:11 | 0.21 | 76.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 22:47 | 0.27 | 74.2% | +85.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:00 | 0.04 | 61.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21:52 | 0.40 | 57.6% | +31.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21:07 | 0.10 | 56.7% | +53.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 17:58 | 0.02 | 41.7% | +19.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:53 | 0.50 | 68.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:39 | 0.58 | 68.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:39 | 0.31 | 70.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:50 | 0.16 | 41.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 16:31 | 0.31 | 61.3% | +75.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 16:12 | 0.21 | 71.1% | +31.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:03 | 0.00 | 67.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:26 | 0.07 | 59.3% | +22.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:33 | 0.21 | 43.9% | +19.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:59 | 0.00 | 34.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 6:33 | 0.02 | 24.5% | +19.4 |
| W | 27 | 24 | 3 | .889 | 2.93 | −0.1 | 64:02 |